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《即日市評》恆指跌至逾十個月低 成交額近一年最少
美國10年期債息升穿4.8厘及30年期債息迫近5厘,港股今日(4日)持續向下創逾十個月低位。美國8月JOLTS職位空缺急增69萬個創逾兩年來最大增幅,市場料美聯儲局將更長時間將利率維持高位,美股道指及納指隔晚(3日)各跌1.3%及1.9%,道指已蒸發今年以來累計升幅;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.817厘,美匯指數跌至106.93,道指期貨最新跌47點或0.14%,納指期貨最新跌0.4%。中秋及國慶長假期下,內地A股由上周五(9月29日)起直至10月6日(本周五)休市,將於10月9日復市。隔晚(3日)圓匯曾短暫跌穿150關後急反彈,引來日本政府入市干預匯市的猜測,日經指數收跌711點或2.3%創逾四個月低。 恆指今早低開64點後走軟,午後曾跌237點一度低見17,094點,尾市跌幅收窄,全日跌135點或0.8%,收17,195點,創逾十個月收市低;國指跌66點或1.1%,收5,882點;恆生科技指數跌65點或1.7%,收3,752點。大市全日成交總額按日跌33%至576.26億元,為去年10月7日以來最低。滬、深港通南下交易暫停,下周一(9日)恢復。濠賭股走疲,金沙中國(01928.HK)跌3%。 【恆指創新低 成交跌三成】 科網股造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價下滑近1%收297.6元,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及百度-SW(09888.HK)各走低1.6%及4.1%,而美團-W(03690.HK)股價下跌2.8%收106.9元。美團遭聯合創辦人穆榮均於上周三及上周四共減持200萬股涉逾2.2億元。 大和發表報告表示,9月24日至28日為騰訊在中東地區舉行非交易路,雖然受到中國宏觀影響,令市場有所憂慮,但投資者對其戰略方向仍然基本抱持樂觀態度。該行認為,騰訊可能會透過其線上遊戲和視訊帳戶達到逆週期增長,預計集團2023至25年的每股盈利複合年增率為19%,並相信風險回報有利於投資者。 【跌股千二隻 汽車偏軟】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比29(上日8比35),下跌股份1,207隻(跌幅2.5%);恆指成份股今日15隻股份上升,65隻股份下跌,升跌比率為19比81(上日為1為99);大市今日錄沽空113.07億元,佔可沽空股份成交額479.61億元的23.575%(上日20.185%)。 汽車股造淡,小鵬-W(09868.HK)股價下滑近3.9%,蔚來-SW(09866.HK)走低1.7%,比亞迪(01211.HK)跌3.2%報231元。 交銀國際指,根據乘聯會數據,9月1至24日,乘用車市場零售125.6萬輛,按年增長13%,按月增長6%。其中,新能源車市場零售50.8萬輛,按年增長33%,按月增長11%。地方政府陸續開展新一輪短時補貼,部分車企為扭轉被動趨勢,主動調整價格和營銷策略,預計應對「金九銀十」構成穩定支撐。 該行指,蔚來9月交付量1.56萬輛,連續兩個月按月下跌,相信主要是由於前幾個月取消免費換電權益以及一系列的優惠政策透支需求。該行在之前的報告也提到對蔚來銷量的可持續性相對悲觀。當訂單量基本消化完後,銷量自然會有著明顯的下滑。因此第4季交付量壓力較大。至於理想-W(02015.HK)(LI.US)和小鵬9月交付量維持穩健,按月改善。
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