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港股收評:恒指升0.46% 有色金屬股領升 中芯國際尾盤升超7%

4月14日,港股午後拉昇再度轉升,三大指數全天呈現震盪行情,恒指升0.46%,國指升0.57%;恒生科技指數升0.1%。本週三大指數表現相對平淡,國指周升0.57%,恒指周升0.81%,惟恒生科技指數週跌1.74%。

盤面上,大型科技股升跌參半,網易升3%,阿里巴巴、騰訊小幅上升,百度跌3%,京東跌超1%;國際金價趨勢向上,黃金股帶動有色金屬股大升,五礦資源一度飆升逾28%表現最為搶眼;行業迎利好消息,半導體股繼續活躍,龍頭中芯國際尾盤升超7%刷新階段高價;電力股、汽車股、海運股、體育用品股等表現活躍。另一方面,日本批准大阪興建賭場度假村,濠賭股應聲下跌,餐飲股表現低迷,昨日強勢的中醫藥股全天萎靡。南下資金全日淨流入51.14億港元,大市成交額為1083億港元。

具體來看:

電力股繼續強勢 ,華電國際電力、大唐發電升超4%,華能國際電力、中國電力、華潤電力均升超4%。

國金證券最新報吿稱,國內大廠相繼入局AI大模型背景下,礦山與電力行業有望成為率先受益大模型迭代的落地場景。該行稱AI+能源行業有望助力“3060達峯中和”;實際操作層面,AI大模型推動“源網荷儲”智能化變革。目前華為雲盤古大模型與阿里通義千問大模型均已發佈相關行業模型,或將賦能傳統新能源電站運營系統精細化、智能化升級。

鋰電股多數上揚,天齊鋰業、贛鋒鋰業升超7%,洪橋集團升超1%,中創新航、天能動力跟升。

消息面上,今年以來,鋰價格一路走低,近日突破“寧王底”20萬元/噸。對此,多位業內人士預計,隨着鋰價不斷走低,鋰礦企業將迎來洗牌,部分中小礦企將退出市場,未來行業集中度會進一步提升。

汽車股升跌互現,長城汽車升超9%,華晨中國升超4%,吉利汽車升超3%,理想汽車微跌,小鵬汽車跌近2%。

消息面上,乘聯會數據顯示,4月1-9日,乘用車市場零售32.8萬輛,同比去年同期增長47%,較上月同期增長8%。今年以來累計零售461.4萬輛,同比下降10%。4月1-9日,乘用車新能源車市場零售9.1萬輛,同比去年同期下降8%,較上月同期下降5%。今年以來累計零售141.4萬輛,同比增長21%。

黃金股集體走強,中國黃金國際、靈寶黃金升超4%,山東黃金升近4%,紫金礦業和招金礦業跟升。

消息面上,美國PPI同比升幅超預期放緩,同時上週初請人數超過市場預期,打壓了美聯儲進一步加息的概率,非美貨幣、風險資產、現貨金銀集體上揚。週四現貨黃金一日大升30美元,逼近2050美元/盎司,為去年3月來最高水平。

航運港口股續升,洲際船務升超5%,海豐國際升超4%,中遠海能升超3%,東方海外國際、招商局港口、中遠海控升超2%。

博彩股普跌,匯彩控股、金沙中國跌超3%,美高梅中國跌超1%,澳博控股、永利澳門、銀河娛樂等跟跌。

消息面上,日本首相岸田文雄在賭場度假區(IR)推進總部會議上透露,將批准大阪府與大阪市提交的建設計劃。這是政府首次批准IR計劃,在日本開設賭場迎來一大節點。大阪力爭賭場度假區在2029年秋冬開業。若完成與運營方的簽約手續、政府“賭場管理委員會”的審查,以及之後的執照交付手續等,將正式決定開業。

今日,南下資金淨流入51.13億港元,其中港股通(滬)淨流入30.37億港元,港股通(深)淨流入20.76億港元。

展望後市,中泰國際稱,美國通脹在逐漸回落,但下行速度不確定。3月FOMC會議紀錄顯示委員們開始關注銀行主動收緊信貸對經濟及通脹的影響,但仍傾向加息至5%以上。美國長債息很難再重回4%以上,大方向震盪下行,這大大紓緩了港股的估值擠壓。外資大股東的鉅額沽盤可能再對港股帶來一些流動性衝擊,除非企業的盈利預期出現積極改善,否則外資大股東減持將限制股價短期的反彈空間。科技指數自3月中旬以來的單邊反彈有機會已終結,但考慮到1) 海外流動性預期好轉;2) 內地政策支持;3) 基本面改善,中泰認為資金將從頭部的科技股轉向包括遊戲、軟件、半導體等二三線互聯網科技股。

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