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植耀輝:港股恐繼續調整 觀望業績表現
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上周五(17日)個別發展,道指上升,不過標普500指數及納指則下跌。不過全周計,道指微跌0.13%,連續第三個星期下跌,標普亦連跌第二周;相比之下,納指走勢仍較理想,一周計仍能累升0.59%。展望本周,美國將公布一月PCE數據,以及聯儲局會議記綠。 港股方面,上周五下跌267點,全周計則累跌470點或2.2%,已是連續第三個星期下跌,累積跌幅達到1,969點或8.7%。另外,A股表現亦欠理想,上周五上綜指以接近全日最低位收市,收報3,224點,下趺0.8%,一周計則累跌超過1.1%。筆者早前曾指出,恆指未來能否企穩250月線(現時約為21,000點附近),對後市有相當大啟示。由於上周已跌破該水平,若短期仍未能有所反彈,建議投資者還是減一減磅會較好,畢竟一旦確認失守21,000點,恐怕會有較深之調整。 另一方面,本周亦將踏入業績發布期,多隻重磅藍籌包括匯控(00005.HK)、恆生(00011.HK)、阿里-SW(09988.HK)、網易-S(09999.HK)、新地(00016.HK)、新世界(00017.HK),銀娛(00027.HK)、港交所(00388.HK)等公布業績,預期對市場氣氛亦會有一定影響。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ************* 耀才研究部稱,美股上周五(17日)個別發展,道指升0.4%,標普及納指則分別下跌0.3%和0.6%。因總統日假期,美股與債市今日(20日)將休市。展望本周,美國將公布PCE數據,另聯儲局亦將公布議息記錄。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數則下跌超過3%。 港股方面,恆指上周五下跌268點或1.3%,科指跌幅亦達到109點或2.5%。科技股拖累大市表現,「ATM」三股拖累恆指超過120點。本周眾多重磅藍籌包括匯控(00005.HK)及阿里-SW(09988.HK)等將公布業績,能否給予市場驚喜,使後市重上21,000點,值得關注。另一方面,由於聯儲局加息幅度或較預期進取,或會持續影響投資氣氛,短期後市宜保持警惕。 恆指上周跌穿21,000點後反彈乏力,並持續受制於10天線,反映短期走勢轉弱,若連50天線(20,740點)亦失守,意味走勢將進一步轉差,或須下試250天線(20,059)支持。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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