《即日市評》恆指「五連跌」 科網股彈 匯控績後挫半成
受匯控(00005.HK)公布季績後股價挫逾5%等拖累下,恆指今日反覆偏軟。美國財長耶倫警告全球經濟及市場壓力有可能破壞美金融體系,而市場憧憬美聯儲放緩加息,美股道指及納指隔夜各升1.3%及0.9%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.182厘,美匯指數跌至111.96,道指期貨最新跌47點或0.15%,納指期貨最新升0.1%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.16%報95.6,人民幣即期收跌475點報7.3085兌一美元,上證綜指全日跌1點或0.04%收2,976點,深證成指跌0.51%,滬深兩市成交額8,029億人民幣。
恆指高開61點後反覆,曾跌233點一度低見14,947點,曾失守萬五關,其後在科技股帶動下,大市曾反彈倒升254點見15,435點,惟午後匯控(00005.HK)公布季績後股價下滑拖累大市,恆指全日跌15點或0.1%,收15,165點,連跌五個交易日(累跌1,748點或10.3%);國指全日升65點或1.29%,收5,180點;恆生科技指數升3%或82點,報2,884點。大市全日成交總額1,434.49億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入35.56億及42.46億元人民幣。港交所(00388.HK)股價走低1.8%收224元。
【匯控挫半成 績後有沽壓】
匯控昨在港股大跌市下股價逆市升1.3%,今日中午公布第三季業績後,今日急滑5.1%收39.95元,匯控公布第三季業績,按列賬基準季內除稅前利潤按年下跌41.75%至31.47億美元符預期,純利按年下跌46%至19.13億美元,每股基本盈利0.1美元。季內,列賬基準收入減少3%至116億美元。集團第三季淨利息收益按年升29.8%至85.81億美元。淨利息收益率為1.57%,按季增22個基點,按年增38個基點。普通股權一級資本比率為13.4%,按季下跌0.2個百分點。
瑞銀表示,匯控第三季經調整除稅前利潤錄65.09億美元,高於市場原預期8%,匯控現時預期2023年的淨利息收益將至少達到360億美元,較集團於中期業績所述的指引至少達370億美元為少,認為集團對明年指引大致穩定。該行認為匯控若按美元價格計今年表現令人失望,相信是反映其缺乏利率槓桿稀缺價值,指與最優惠利率掛鉤的存款,在利率趨升下或成為其2023年香港利息收入的不利因素,令市場憂慮集團旗下亞洲業務增長。
【沽空率下降 科網股回升】
港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為20比21(上日為5比40);恆指成份股今日40隻股份上升,下跌股份31隻,升跌比率為55比42(上日為8比92);大市今日錄沽空216.46億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,265.41億元的17.106%(上日為19.668%)。
科技股回升,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)反彈3.2%報63.6元,騰訊(00700.HK)股價升近0.1%報206.4元。大和發表中國互聯網股報告,近日與投資者進行溝通,雖然中資科網股現估值僅相當於預測市盈率12倍創歷史新低,但相關投資者指在市場不確定的情況下,目前不打算開始「抄底」,指美國芯片禁令是投資者的主要擔憂之一,而該行則認為中資科網股今年第三季收入可優於預期,料至2023年第二季可能迎來轉捩點,可獲市場盈利重評。
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