《即日市評》憂慮通脹及疫情 恆指反覆跌 阿里續上揚
恆指於兩萬二關見阻力,今日先升後回。美十年期國債孳息重上3厘及油價上升,市場擔心美國通脹及加息,美股道指及納指昨各跌0.8%及0.7%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率處3.026厘,美匯指數跌至102.56,美股道指期貨最新升53點或0.17%,納指期貨最新跌0.16%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.16%至103.68。中國5月美元計進口按年升4.1%(市場預期升2.8)、中國5月美元計出口按年升16.9%(市場預期升8%),人民幣即期收跌7點報6.6837兌一美元,市場關注北京疫情,北京朝陽區今午起暫停娛樂場所營業,上證綜指今日跌24點或0.76%收3,238點,深證成指跌1.9%,內地創業板指數跌近3%,滬深兩市成交額共9,767億人民幣。
恆指高開106點,早段升128點一度高見22,142點後回落,午後曾跌276點一度低見21,737點,全日跌145點或0.66%,收21,869點;國指跌73點或0.95%,收7,606點;恆生科技指數跌68點或1.43%,收4,749點。大市全日成交總額1,637.03億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入7.23億及12.84億元人民幣。內需股回落,潤啤(00291.HK)跌5.1%。
【恆指反覆跌 阿里續上揚】
科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)股價升0.9%,美團(03690.HK)股價走低近3.1%,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價則升近2.3%收111.3元。美銀證券表示,阿里巴巴指供應和履行能力在5月下旬開始恢復,並在6月初取得明顯進展,但尚未達到正常水平。阿里預計瓶頸問題將在6月內全面解決。在6月促銷預售期間,某些產品類別的需求出現實質性回升,例如戶外用品、醫療保健、健身、綠化和家居風格/家具。集團需要更多時間評估宏觀經濟環境及其對內地消費的壓力。
京東(09618.HK)全日股價下滑2%收249元。花旗發表報告表示,基於中國最新的經濟活動重新開放趨勢,和「618」電商節促銷的初步牽引力,該行保守預測京東今年6.18促銷銷售期的總商品交易額可能介乎3,580億元至3,680億元人民幣,按年增長4%-7%。該行認為,根據未來10天的走勢,實際交易額有可能接近預測範圍高段水平,若京東「618」的交易額能夠實現超過10%的按年增幅,會是積極的上行驚喜,並可能表明相對具有韌性的消費力,預示著中國經濟的下半年復甦趨勢將更加強勁。
【跌股一千隻 航運股受壓】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比23(上日27比14),下跌股份1,003隻(跌幅2.2%),恆指成份股今日21隻股份上升,下跌股份43隻,升跌比率為32比65(上日為53比45);大市今日錄沽空264億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,416.5億元的18.638%(上日為19.444%)。
航運股捱沽,東方海外(00316.HK)全日股價挫11.4%收243.2元,太航(02343.HK)股價下滑6.3%,中遠海控(01919.HK)股價走低7.7%。野村引述《Daily Cargo》報道,上海出口集裝箱運價指數(SCFI)顯示,截至6月2日,從上海到歐洲的集裝箱的標準20呎貨櫃(TEU)運價按周下降10美元至5,855美元,從上海到北美西岸的TEU運價按周下降了66美元至7,710美元,從上海至美國東岸每FEU(標準40呎櫃)運價按周下降274美元至10,231美元。
野村稱,雖然報道的準確性尚不清楚,但據報上海前往歐洲和美國的航線運費下降,但其他航線的運費上漲,情況似乎與6月2日的SCFI錄4,208點,上漲近33點一致。雖然如此,該行認為投資者對航運業看法要謹慎是有必要的,因為上海往美國和歐洲航線的運價似乎已經下降。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.