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《市評》港股下滑 北水淨流入增至127億元 芯片及手機股逆市揚
快手-W(01024.HK)子公司遭國家市監局立案調查,涉嫌違反電子商務法,港股今日(22日)向下。美股道指及納指上週五(19日)各升近0.4%及0.7%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.569%,美國10年期債券孳息跌至4.125%,美匯指數跌至97.54,道指期貨最新跌116點或0.3%,納指期貨最新跌73點或0.3%。國家主席習近平上週五(19日)與美國總統特朗普進行通話時表示,美國應避免採取限制性貿易措施,兩國領導人尋求緩解中美之間的緊張關係。上證綜指今日反覆升8點或0.22%收3,828點,深證成指升0.67%,內地創業板指數升0.55%,滬深兩市成交額共2.12萬億元人民幣。 恆指低開85點後跌幅擴大,曾跌341點一度低見26,204點,全日跌200點或0.8%,收26,344點;國指跌101點或1.1%,收9,370點;恆生科技指數跌36點或0.6%,收6,257點。大市全日成交總額2,905.37億元。而南向資金今日淨流入127.36億元(上日淨流入98.38億元)。阿里-W(09988.HK)微升0.06%收159.2元,快手全日股價下滑2.4%。 【北水流入增 手機股抽高】 蘋果概念股受捧,藍思科技(06613.HK)全日股價彈高12.6%收31.38元,高偉(01415.HK)及丘鈦(01478.HK)各抽上11.3%及10.1%,瑞聲(02018.HK)及舜宇(02382.HK)升9.9%及6.7%,比亞迪電子(00285.HK)升3.6%,鴻騰(06088.HK)炒高17.8%。晶片股續炒,百度-SW(09888.HK)升3.2%。中芯(00981.HK)及華虹(01347.HK)各上揚5.2%及3.6%。 摩根大通發表報告表示,從蘋果公司(AAPL.US)旗下iPhone 17系列上市初期的良好需求跡象,該行上調對其對2026財年(2025年10月至2026年9月)的出貨量預期,同時納入將於2026年秋季推出的可摺疊iPhone帶來的出貨與定價順風效應,推動2027財年(2026年10月至2027年9月)收入與盈利預期上修。該行指,iPhone 17系列早期需求跡象顯示,本次週期的出貨量不僅有望超過該行最初預期(當時考慮到 iPhone 16 系列出現提前消費後的消化壓力),甚至有望按年超越iPhone 16系列。受益於改善的出貨前景,該行目前預測2026財年iPhone出貨量爲2.36億部。 據國金證券今年7月發表公司深度報告指,藍思科技2006年開始與蘋果公司接觸,於2007年初通過蘋果的供應商認證,正式建立合作關係,公司與蘋果合作以來,一直是其視窗防護玻璃產品重要供應商。2017年(iPhone X)使用3D曲面玻璃後蓋。2021年公司已與主要柔性屏手機終端品牌建立了在柔性屏外觀防護技術和防護材料的深度合作,與終端客戶共同爲消費者提供可量產、可持續發展的技術方案和高質量的產品,包括且不限於用在摺疊屏上的後蓋3D玻璃、UTG玻璃、CPI膜等等。2015-2023年,隨着智能手機等產品市場快速成長以及公司單機產品價值的提升,公司對第一大客戶銷售額從83億元增至315億人民幣,在營收佔比始終在50%以上。 【沽空率攀升 航運股受壓】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲19比30(上日爲22比27),下跌股份1,246只(跌幅2.3%),恆指成份股今日17只股份上升,下跌股份70只,升跌比率爲19比80(上日48比50)。大市今日錄沽空513.9億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,564.56億元的20.039%(上日爲15.367%)。 外圍航運股受壓,東方海外(00316.HK)全日股價下挫5.2%收126.6元,爲跌幅最大藍籌股,中遠海控(01919.HK)下滑3.4%,海豐國際(01308.HK)挫5.5%、德翔海運(02510.HK)跌5.4%。摩根士丹利發表報告表示,上海出口集裝箱運價指數(SCFI)於截至9月19日(上週五)當週按周下跌14.3%,其中對美國西岸及東岸航線運費按周各跌31%及23%,該行指SCFI是實際運費的領先指標,該行對此持負面看法。
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