《市評》恆指倒升 北水淨流入增至144億 阿里「七連揚」
港股受阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及汽車股帶動向上。市場觀望本周美聯儲局議息,美股道指及納指上周五各跌0.6%及升0.4%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.556%,美國10年期債券孳息處於4.06%,美匯指數跌至97.54,道指期貨最新升99點或0.22%,納指期貨最新跌23或0.1%。國統局公布中國8月規模以上工業增加值按年升5.2%(預測升5.6%)、8月社會消費品零售總額按年增3.4%(預期升3.8%)、中國首八月固產投按年增0.5%(預期升1.5%)。上證綜指全日跌10點或0.26%收3,860點,深證成指升0.6%,內地創業板指數升1.5%,滬深兩市成交額共2.28萬億元。
恆指低開79點後倒升,曾升144點一度高見26,532點,全日升58點或0.2%,收26,446點;國指升19點或0.2%,收9,384點;恆生科技指數升54點或0.9%,收6,043點。大市全日成交總額2,901.95億元。北水交易總成交額1,562.51億元,而南向資金今日淨流入144.73億元(上日淨流入73.31億元)。
車股上漲,蔚來(09866.HK)及理想(02015.HK)升3.5%及4.6%,比亞迪(01211.HK)揚3.4%。內地發布汽車行業穩增長方案,今年力爭實現全年汽車銷量3,230萬輛左右,按年增約3%,其中新能源汽車銷量1,550萬輛左右,按年增長約20%,並推動L3級自動駕駛准入試點。
【阿里「七連揚」 汽車股走高】
騰訊(00700.HK)更新全球中期票據計劃,擬發行300億美元票據,騰訊平收報643.5元,英超市集團Sainsbury's終止與京東(09618.HK)關於出售旗下Argos的談判,京東平收報131.7元,嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)升4.9%。而阿里(09988.HK)全日股價上揚2.3%報154.6元,連升七個交易日,累升24.8元或19.1%。
花旗發表報告表示,中國國家統計局公布8月中國零售數據。8月社會消費品零售總額達3.97萬億元人民幣,按年增3.4%(對比7月按年增3.7%)。今年1至8月累計網上零售額達9.98萬億人民幣,按年增9.6%(對比7月按年增9.2%,較2024年1至8月按年增2.9%)。內地今年8月網上零售滲透率達33%。該行指認為,內地8月網上零售(按年增12.4%)及網上實物商品零售(按年增7.1%)增長雖較7月(13.5%/8.3%)放緩,但仍符合預期。對比整體社會零售總額從7月的3.7%降至8月的3.4%,網上零售及網上實物商品銷售增長韌性仍勝預期,相信主要因電商平台「即時零售」(quick commerce)競爭,加碼補貼促銷。
花旗認為8月官方數據顯示:1)家電及數碼類目增長放緩,與部分城市補貼用盡有關;2)網上及整體服裝、化妝品類增長略加快,反映可選消費復甦。結合京東今年第二季業績及管理層指引,預計京東今年第三季收入按年增11%至2,882億元人民幣;阿里巴巴2026財年第二財季(截至今年9月底止財季)客戶管理收入(CMR)預計893億元人民幣,按年增10%。
【跌股千一隻 寧德時代彈】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為23比28(上日為28比22),下跌股份1,138隻(跌幅2.4%),恆指成份股今日33隻股份上升,下跌股份52隻,升跌比率為38比59(上日63比31)。大市今日錄沽空428.72億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,531.93億元的16.933%(上日為15.455%)。
電池股寧德時代(03750.HK)升7.4%收465元。鋰業股贛鋒(01772.HK)及天齊(09696.HK)升逾2%。國家發展改革委、國家能源局於上周五(12日)印發《新型儲能規模化建設專項行動方案(2025—2027年)》,圍繞「規模化發展、技術領先、體系健全」三大核心方向,設定2027年新型儲能發展總體目標。
2027年全國新型儲能裝機規模要達到1.8億千瓦以上,帶動項目直接投資約2,500億元人民幣,新型儲能技術路線仍以鋰離子電池儲能為主,各類技術路線及應用場景進一步豐富,培育一批試點應用項目,打造一批典型應用場景。
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