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爆拉18%!阿里狂飆,港股9月開門紅!

9月第一天,港股喜迎開門紅。

上午,三大指數盤中均漲超2%,不過隨後衝高回落,午後又再度回升。

截至發稿,恆指、恆科指均漲超2%,國企指數漲1.85%。

黃金及貴金屬、半導體芯片表現火熱,大型科技股領漲大市,其中阿里尤爲亮眼。

投行集體爲阿里打call !

今天,阿里漲勢尤爲兇猛,帶動港股市場熱情高漲。

盤中其股價猛飆超18%現報136.9港元,錄得自2022年11月以來的最大盤中漲幅,現總市值達2.61萬億港元。

一方面是業績的提振。

二季度,阿里雲業務收入同比增長26%,淘寶閃購則成爲驅動用戶增長的最大亮點。

據披露,淘寶閃購上線僅四個月,月度活躍用戶已突破3億,較4月之前增長200%,首階段目標超預期完成。

雲業務方面,二季度阿里雲營收同比增長26%至333.98億元,遠超市場預期;外部商業化收入中AI貢獻已超過20%。,AI相關產品收入連續八個季度保持三位數增長。

二季度,阿里巴巴的資本開支爲386億元,同比增長220%,環比上季增長57.1%,創下單季歷史新高。

公司未來三年將持續投入3800億元用於AI資本開支。

目前,摩根大通已將阿里目標股價從140美元上調至170美元;野村證券也從152美元上調至170美元;傑富瑞目標價從145港元上調至160港元。

另外,阿里財報也催化了AI和算力的爆發。

據市場統計,第二季度BAT三家合計資本開支615.83億元,同、環比分別提升168%、12%。

機構分析認爲,國產AI基建有望迎來價值重估。

新一輪價值重估?

年內,港股經歷了兩輪漲勢。

自年初起,港股持續拉昇近3個月,不過隨後回調一個月有餘。4月中旬,港股重拾漲勢,期間雖有小幅震盪,但整體仍表現強勁。

截至目前,恆指累漲超27%,恆科指累漲超29%,國指累漲近25%。

近期,雖然港股承壓盤整,不過在科技巨頭財報提振之下,其勢頭再度重燃。

隨着騰訊、阿里等巨頭驗證AI驅動業績增長且正在加快AI基礎設施投資。

疊加美聯儲9月降息預期升溫,港股科技巨頭有望迎來新一輪價值重估。

今年來,內地資金對港股市場的配置意願持續增強。

截至8月29日,南向資金當月累計淨流入1121.56億港元;年內累計淨流入已達9789.98億港元,大幅超過去年全年總額。

市場情緒回暖,資金不斷加碼涌入,機構持續看好港股後市。

光大證券指出,儘管港股已連續多月上漲,但整體估值仍處於偏低水平,長期配置性價比凸顯。

在國內穩增長政策持續發力、美聯儲降息週期有望開啓的背景下,港股市場未來或繼續震盪上行。建議投資者繼續關注科技成長與高股息板塊並重的“啞鈴”策略。

中信證券預計,三季度港股將呈現震盪向上趨勢,而四季度隨着內地穩增長政策加碼、AI產業催化落地以及全球流動性環境改善,港股有望迎來估值和盈利的“戴維斯雙擊”。

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