《信而有證》恆指再破今年高位 資金提前部署美團、阿里業績 好倉吼美團購18315 / 阿里購17614
恆指上周升逾200點後,早段繼續造好,高開267點後愈升愈有,最多升逾500點,上試25,900點,再刷新2021年以來高位,暫時連升第二日。
恆指上日反彈,好淡倉均傾向先行離場。根據手機應用程式「信搜牛熊」數據,恆指好倉上日逾兩千萬淨流出,淡倉更有約2,700萬離場,但兩者對比近一年平均數據均未算極高水平。
牛熊證街貨比例大約73:27,恆指早段上試25,900點水平,25300至25,899點熊證已全數被收回,合計相對期指張數近2,000張;牛證多個貼價位置均有加倉,但上日重貨區仍在24,700點水平。
牛熊證街貨分布圖:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/cbbc/os-map
即市資金流方面,大批熊證到價被收回,淡倉資金早段積極入場,好倉則以繼續換馬至貼價牛證為主。
信證熱門牛熊證:恆指牛證(68599),收回價25,165點;恆指熊證(59707),收回價26,050點。
本周焦點業績包括美團(03690)及阿里(09988),分別於周三(8月27日)及周五(8月29日)公布業績。
美團今年走勢落後,暫時累計仍累跌兩成左右,市場預計「外賣行業內捲」程度惡化,影響美團的盈利能力。
輪場資金於績前較傾向作好倉部署,美團好倉連續4日錄淨流入,累計流入金額約2,500萬。美團早段股價升逾3%,上試10天及20天線,個別資金繼續追好倉。
若看好美團業績有望帶動股價追落後,可以留意美團認購證(18315),行使價138.88元,明年1月到期,實際槓桿約5.8倍,為貼價、長年期之選;相反,繼續看淡美團,可留意美團認沽證(17396),行使價109.9元,12月到期,實際槓桿約5倍。
阿里今年走勢則於美團相反,年初至今累計升約五成,跑贏大市。
資金亦傾向繼續部署阿里好倉,連續3日錄淨流入,累計金額同樣有大約2,500萬,阿里認購證可以留意(17614),行使價142.088元,12月中到期,實際槓桿約6.6倍;看淡可留意阿里認沽證(18490),行使價96.95元,明年4月到期,實際槓桿約5倍。
是日業績焦點:
海底撈(06862)認購證(18316),行使價19.5元,明年2月到期,實際槓桿約4.2倍
中軟國際(19273)認購證(19273),行使價7.88元,明年5月到期,實際槓桿約2.6倍。
更多窩輪產品及資訊:中信證券輪證網站:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/index
中信證券輪證頻道:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/education/video-channel
風險披露及免責聲明
本結構性產品並無抵押品,如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。
本資料由中信証券經紀(香港)有限公司 (「本行」或「發行人」) 編製,其僱員可能持有不時在本資料所述證券之權益 。結構性產品屬複雜產品,投資前閣下應詳閱有關上市文件,完全了解其性質及潛在風險,自行評估箇中風險,並於需要時尋求專業意見。以上資料僅供參考,並不構成購買或出售結構性產品或達成任何交易的要約、遊說、邀請、意見或建議,亦不構成投資意見或服務。結構性產品的價格可急跌或急升,投資者或會損失所有投資。牛熊證設有強制收回機制,因此有可能提早終止,在此情況下(i)N類牛熊證投資者會損失於牛熊證的全部投資;而(ii)R類牛熊證之剩餘價值則可能為零。過往表現並非未來表現的指標。本行可能是結構性產品的唯一市場參與者,而結構性產品的二級市場可能有限。~
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