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《市評》恆指倒升 北水轉淨流出146億 泡泡瑪特闖高逾12%
市場觀望美聯儲局主席鮑威爾週五(22日)的演講,港股今日(20日)先跌後回升。受英偉達股價和科技股普遍下跌的拖累,美股納指隔晚(19日)跌1.5%,道指則微升0.02%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.763%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.308%,美匯指數升至98.31,道指期貨最新跌113點或0.25%,納指期貨最新跌50點或0.2%。美財長稱美國對目前對華徵收關稅水平感到滿意,中國外交部迴應指希望美方能夠同中方一道,按照兩國元首通話達成的重要共識,發揮好中美經貿磋商機制的作用,在平等、尊重、互惠的基礎上爭取積極成果。上證綜指全日升38點或1%收3,766點,深證成指升0.9%,滬深兩市成交額共近2.41萬億元人民幣。 恆指低開154點,初段跌234點一度低見24,887點後跌幅收窄,午市隨內地股市上升造好,曾倒升88點見25,210點,全日升43點或0.2%,收25,165點;國指升7點,收9,013點;恆生科技指數跌不足1點,報5,541點。大市全日成交總額2,852.86億元。北水交易總成交額1,681.01億元,而南向資金今日淨流出146.82億元(上日淨流入185.73億元)。盈富基金(02800.HK)升0.2%收25.66元,成交額250.8億元。 小米(01810.HK)第二季經調整純利升75%,全日股價升0.3%,市場關注手機業務毛利率及汽車銷售增長。 【北水淨流出 泡泡瑪特彈】 消費股方面,泡泡瑪特(09992.HK)中期純利按年增近4倍,本週將推迷你版LABUBU,可用作電話掛件應用場景更多,全日股價抽高12.5%報316元,成交115億元,盤中見319.4元新高,市值達近4,244億元。 摩根大通表示,泡泡瑪特今年上半年調整後淨利潤按年增長367%,達到46.6億元人民幣(較盈利預喜高出4%),銷售額增長204%,達139億元人民幣,與預期基本一致。該行對其強勁的Labubu產品銷售按年增長668%和海外銷售按年增長440%感到印象深刻。經歷了2025年第二季度的產能瓶頸後,公司管理層表示,7月份的產量較6月份翻倍,並預計8月份將有進一步顯着的改善。該行認爲這對今年下半年增長非常有利。該行亦指,泡泡瑪特有機會被納入恆生指數(公告將於8月22日晚公佈,調整將於9月8日進行),泡泡瑪特依然是中國消費領域的首選。 老鋪黃金(06181.HK)收升8.8%,報782元,成交22.46億元。集團上半年純利按年升約285.8%,宣派中期息9.59元人民幣,並宣佈建議每年派息兩次,派息率50%。 【跌股千一隻 港交所造好】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲21比28(上日爲20比30),下跌股份1,169只(跌幅2.7%),恆指成份股今日45只股份上升,下跌股33只,升跌比率爲53比39(上日45比51)。大市今日錄沽空365.68億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,567.38億元的14.243%(上日爲18.657%)。 翰森(03692.HK)折讓6.5%配股淨籌近39億元,全日股價跌7.4%收35.96元。綠葉(02186.HK)及康哲(00867.HK)跌3.8%及4.2%,諾誠健華(09969.HK)及康方(09926.HK)各收跌逾5%。 港交所(00388.HK)中午公佈業績後,全日股價升1.7%收441.2元。摩根大通發表報告指,港交所第二季股東應佔溢利爲44.42億元,按年增長41%,按季增長9%,較該行預測高出9%,收入亦按年增長33%至錄72.19億元,創歷年季度新高,收入強勁主要來自於港股成交量大幅回升推動,帶動交易及結算費用相應按年增長。 該行表示,港交所正贖回其外部投資組合,用於購置總部大樓,加上利率下行,預期未來投資收入將受到影響,但有部分會被較低物業開支所抵銷。摩通仍相信港交所發展前景穩健,第三季至今成交量仍強勁上升,持續的市場流動性及南向資金將繼續爲交易量提供支持,將評級上調至「增持」,預料業績公佈後股價反應將正面,給予目標價500元。
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