郭思治:大市在反覆中似欲回試10天及20天線
致富證券市務總監郭思治稱,大市昨日(18日)又再在交投暢旺下反覆偏軟,恆指昨早市先輕微高開23點至25,293點,其後曾略為推升至25,466點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又不斷隨著湧現,故整個大市卒漸轉反覆,而市勢亦續步回軟,恆指最後報收25,176點,較上日跌93點,大市全日總成交金額為3,127億元。
有一點需留意,目前20天線大約正位於25,161點,而10天線則位於25,121點,相對恆指於18日報收25,176點計,相距上述兩組平均移動線頗近,即是說,只是大市稍作較明顯之反覆,技術上已可能會跌穿10天及20天線,一旦出現此情況,該表示大市又再重陷反覆不明之中,其時如沽壓再稍作主動,大市可能會進一步下試25,000點之支持,單從技術上看,10天及20天線一旦失守,其時較關鍵之支持將退守至50天線。
大市雖仍身處25,000點之上,但多隻恆指成份股卻一直拉鋸於低處,如阿里-W(09988.HK),美團-W(03690.HK),小米-W(01810.HK)及比亞迪(01211.HK)等均會持續整固偏軟,情況一旦仍未見改善前,大市技術上仍難作較明顯之抽升。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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