《市評》恆指創逾三年半新高 匯控曾見紅底 「基建三寶」受捧
恆指今日升越兩萬五關口,創逾三年半高位,重磅股匯控(00005.HK)股價曾觸及100元,但收市未能企穩該水平(全日收99.7元升1.3%)。美股道指及納指隔晚各微跌0.04%或升近0.4%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.863%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.392%,美匯指數處於97.85,道指期貨最新升13點或0.03%,納指期貨最新跌65點或0.3%。上證綜指全日升22點或0.6%收3,581點,深證成指升0.8%,滬深兩市成交額共1.89萬億元人民幣。。
恆指今早(21日)高開30點收復二萬五關,雖然早段曾倒跌93點一度低見24,900點,但其後反覆向止,全日以高位收市報25,130點,升135點或0.54%,連升三個交易日(累升631點或2.6%));國指全日升35點或0.4%,報9,075點;恆生科技指數亦升21點或0.4%,報5,606點。港股全日成交2,660.73億元。北水交易總成交額1,628.32億元,而南向資金今日淨流入27.17億元(上日淨流入70.51億元)。港交所(00388.HK)升0.3%收432.6元。
比亞迪(01211.HK)第1,300萬輛新能源汽車出廠,股價升5.1%。蔚來(09866.HK)升4.5%,信義玻璃(00868.HK)及中升(0881.HK)股價各彈高7.2%及6.1%。此外,王國龍明年6月底前退任領展(00823.HK)行政總裁及執董,領展全日上升近1.9%收43.35元。
【東方電氣吐 「基建三寶」彈】
雅下水電項目概念股表現波動,華新水泥(06655.HK)下滑15%收15.8元,東方電氣(01072.HK)股價一度炒上12.6%,全日倒跌2.8%收23.95元,成交額46.55億元。中資基建股今日抽上,中交(01800.HK)彈高近7.6%,中鐵股份(00390.HK)及中鐵建(01186.HK)各揚4.5%及6%。
瑞銀發表中國建設行業報告表示,雅魯藏布江下游水電項目正式開工。該項目包括建設五座梯級水電站,總投資約1.2萬億元人民幣。假設項目投資週期為10-15年,該行認為年均投資約為800億至1,200億元人民幣,佔2025年中國基礎設施投資的0.3%至0.5%,以及水利管理投資的4至6%。該行預計領先基礎設施公司主要參與這些輔助和配套工程的建設,假設主要建設階段佔總項目成本的60-70%,且投資分攤10年,該行估計中國中鐵、中國交通建設和中鐵建在今明兩年增量收入預測貢獻將低於1%。儘管該行認為該水電項目對其覆蓋企業的收入影響有限,且國內整體基礎設施活動低於預期,但由於政策支持穩定增長,以及H股的潛在重新估值和高股息收益率,該行對建築行業保持謹慎樂觀的看法。
【升股千一隻 「阿信屋」母飆】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為28比22(上日為30比20),上升股份1,163隻(升幅3.3%),恆指成份股今日62隻股份上升,下跌股19隻,升跌比率為73比22(上日68比28)。大市今日錄沽空307.66億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,426.84億元的12.677%(上日為12.121%)。
京東(09618.HK)跌0.3%,據報京東擬收購佳寶,具體官方資訊或在8月份公布。同時,部分本港上市的零售服務商炒上,經營「759阿信屋」母企CEC國際(00759.HK)全日股價飆升近2.6倍收0.46元。經營家品連鎖店「日本城JHC」母企國際家居(01373.HK)升9.1%,經營AEON超市百貨的永旺(00984.HK)漲25.6%,香港科技探索(01137.HK)彈13.7%,而莎莎國際(00178.HK)亦抽高11.9%。
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