《市評》恆指造淡 藥股續炒高 理想彈高近一成
恆指昨(16日)衝高至近四個月高位後回落,今日(17日)反覆上落。市場誤傳美國總統特朗普即將解僱聯儲局主席鮑威爾的消息引起波動,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.5%及.3%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.902%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.467%,美匯指數升0.24%至98.63,道指期貨最新跌40點或0.09%,納指期貨最新升28點或0.12%。上證綜指全日升13點或0.37%收3,516點,深證成指升1.4%,滬深兩市成交額共1.54萬億元人民幣。
港股先升後回,恆指高開29點,初段升154點一度高見24,672點後回落,曾倒跌69點見24,447點,全日跌18點或0.08%,收24,498點;國指跌8點或0.1%,收8,853點;恆生科技指數升30點或0.6%,收5,448點。大市全日成交總額2,364.12億元。北水交易總成交額1,347.23億元,而南向資金今日淨流入18.55億元(上日淨流入16.03億元)。
京東外賣把「超時20分鐘免單」改為「準時寶」服務,京東(09618.HK)及阿里(09988.HK)今日股價跌0.2%及1.1%,美團(03690.HK)升1.1%。百度(09888.HK)上線主打無廣告智能搜索「TizzyAI」,股價跌3.3%。
【百度呈回吐 藥股續炒高】
部份醫藥股續炒高,藥明巨諾(02126.HK)飆升20.7%,復旦張江(01349.HK)及開拓藥業(09939.HK)股價各升14.3%及11.7%,康方(09926.HK)及百濟神州(06160.HK)升逾10%,三生製藥(01530.HK)及金斯瑞(01548.HK)升9.5%及8.2%。中生製藥(01177.HK)升5.9%,翰森(03692.HK)升4.4%。
花旗發表醫藥行業報告表示,國家醫保局於本周二(15日)宣布啟動第11輪國家藥品集採,涉及55種藥品。醫院需在7月16日至7月31日期間報告採購量。醫保局官員強調,本輪集採僅針對仿製藥,不包括創新藥,並優先考慮質量而非價格。為保護行業創新,明確排除以下藥品:1)近期通過談判進入醫保且仍在協議期內的藥品;2)2024年省級採購平台銷售數據顯示市場規模小於1億元人民幣的藥品。該行認為,優化的集採規則顯示政府支持行業創新和理性競爭的態度。該行預計價格降幅將較溫和。總體而言,該行預測對主要藥企的影響有限(<3%)。
【升股一千隻 理想彈一成】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為27比21(上日為23比25),上升股份1,122隻(升幅3.4%),恆指成份股今日43隻股份上升,下跌股40隻,升跌比率為51比47(上日33比64)。大市今日錄沽空266.88億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,085.93億元的12.794%(上日為13.497%)。
車股方面,理想(02015.HK)股價抽高9.7%收124.1元,成交額49.4億元,小鵬(09868.HK)升1.1%,小米(01810.HK)跌2%。而理想汽車宣布理想i8開啟預訂,預計售價35萬元人民幣至40萬元人民幣,將於7月29日公布正式售價,8月下旬開始交付。預訂的用戶在確認定購後將享有優先交付權益。
長江證券於本周一(14日)發表題為「理想汽車:如何看待i8純電勝率?」報告表示,近年隨理想、問界等優質混動車型出現,近年30萬以上新能源SUV動力類型混動佔比提升明顯,純電優質車型供給缺乏。從代表車型來看,今年首五個月30萬人民幣及以上新能源SUV銷量達1萬輛以上車型中,插混、增程車型佔10款,純電車型僅蔚來(09866.HK)ES6、小鵬G9兩款累計銷量破萬。
該行指在動力續航和尺寸方面,理想i8同級別車型中較為突出。電池續航上,理想i8起售車型CLTC純電續航里程達670km,超過小鵬G9的625km和蔚來ES6的510km;電池能量同樣領先小鵬G9和蔚來ES6;在電動機性能上,理想i8在同級別車型中處於領先水平,超過同級別增程車型理想L8和問界M8。在車身尺寸上,理想i8在車身長度和軸距上不僅超過純電車型小鵬G9和蔚來ES6,同樣領先於增程車型理想L8。 而理想i8搭載最新的VLA大模型,極大提高其智駕方面競爭力。
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