周大福(01929.HK)彈高8% 券商指管理層料同店銷售逐季改善
周大福(01929.HK)公布業績後受追捧,今早高開0.65%後,盤中曾低見11.92元一度下滑2.9%,其後輾轉向上,盤中曾高見13.4元一度彈高9.1%,最新報13.28元上揚8.1%,為升幅最大的藍籌股,成交額2.07億元,而周大福今年以來股價已累升97.3%。花旗指,周大福2025財年業績符合預期,管理層預計2026財年同店銷售將逐季改善,全年實現中單位數增長,該行對其保持樂觀態度,若黃金價格上漲,料將刺激公司旗下固定價格黃金產品增長,並從綜合估值方式的角度推動估值重估,維持「買入」評級,將目標價由10.2元升至14元。麥格理指,周大福2025財年固定價格珠寶(黃金及鑲嵌寶石)收入佔比從2024財年的19%增加至29%,公司將推出更多標誌性產品及高端珠寶以進一步優化產品組合。
周大福昨收市後公布截至今年3月底止全年度業績,營業額896.56億元,按年跌17.5%。純利59.16億元,按年跌9%;每股盈利59.2仙。派末期息32仙,上年同期派30仙。全年股息每股共52仙。2025財政年度全年派息率約為87.8%。期內,經營溢利上升9.8%至147.46億元,而經營溢利率則擴大4個百分點至16.4%。毛利率升5.5個百分點至29.5%。截至3月底,集團於內地的同店銷售按年跌19.4%,同店銷量跌30.1%;港澳市場同店銷售跌26.1%,同店銷量跌34.2%。
瑞銀表示,周大福2025財年下半財年營運利潤按年升15%,較該行原預期高5%,因得益於成本控制。考慮到月度同店銷售增長改善及新開店舖的強勁表現,管理層給出的指引高於市場預期。根據周大福管理層指引,瑞銀預計2026財年營運利潤介乎140億至149億元(按年跌5%至升1%),比市場共識預期高11%至19%。
瑞銀稱周大福預計2026財年中國內地及內地以外的同店銷售增長均為中單位數,總收入預計按年增長低至中單位數。管理層表示僅對按重量計價的黃金產品進行對沖,不對固定價格黃金產品進行對沖。
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