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長協“搶核”,科技巨頭紛紛押注核電,港、A概念股狂飆

AI的盡頭是電力,核電已成爲AI時代電力需求激增的最大贏家之一。

今日,A股核電板塊多股漲停,斯瑞新材漲超12%,國瑞科技、諾德股份、順鈉股份漲停,尚緯股份漲超8%,錫裝股份、爭光股份漲超6%,常輔股份、新特電氣漲超5%,融發核電漲超4%,中洲特材漲超3%。

港股中廣核礦業漲近25%、中核國際漲近12%、中廣核新能源漲超3%。

大型科技公司紛紛押注核電

當地時間6月3日,Meta簽署了一份爲期20年的合同,將從2027年年中開始向克林頓核電站購買1121兆瓦的電力。

據瞭解,這是Meta迄今爲止最大的電力交易。

從2019年到2023年,Meta的總用電量幾乎增長了兩倍,公司正在簽訂更多的電力採購合同。

Constellation是美國最大的核電站運營商,公司CEO Joe Dominguez透露,正在與多個客戶就類似Meta合同的交易進行談判,預計在未來6-12個月內可能達成協議。

隨着AI對電力需求的激增,越來越多的大型科技公司將目光投向核電。

去年,Constellation宣佈已達成協議,將重啓三哩島核電站的一座反應堆,爲微軟的數據中心提供服務。

此外,亞馬遜和谷歌也正在投資小型反應堆。

去年10月,亞馬遜宣佈與三家公司簽訂合作協議,初期投資5億美元開發小型模塊化反應堆。

谷歌去年也與小型模塊化反應堆開發商Kairos Power簽署了一項協議,後者將建造七個小型模塊化核反應堆,爲谷歌的數據中心供電。

今年3月,亞馬遜、谷歌和Meta等科技巨頭簽署了一項由世界核協會牽頭的承諾,呼籲到2050年將全球核能發電量增加兩倍。

國內來看,中廣核礦業6月3日公告稱,關聯方中廣核鈾業集團將購買公司的天然鈾,約定2026-2028年期間每年最低採購量爲1200噸天然鈾,三年交易金額上限分別爲39.44億、43.96億及45.61億港元。

可見,在全球核電復甦大背景下,產業鏈的公司都在通過長協方式鎖定未來的核能供應。

溢價更高

除了需求量增加外,核電有望獲得更高的溢價,科技公司正在用實際行動表明願意支付這部分溢價。

據Jefferies LLC的分析師Paul Zimbardo預測,Meta可能將爲克林頓核電站的電力支付每兆瓦時約80美元,微軟從三哩島核電站購買電力的價格至少爲110美元。

而同一地區的風能和太陽能發電成本約爲每兆瓦時60美元。

Zimbardo表示,Meta和微軟的定價前景不同,因爲三哩島核電站的發電需要重啓反應堆,該核電站因經濟原因於2019年關閉,重啓成本估計爲16億美元。而克林頓核電站已投入運營。 

與此同時,克林頓核電站服務區域的整體電價一直在上漲。

在4月的容量拍賣中,由中大陸獨立系統運營商(Midcontinent Independent System Operator)運營的電網的批發電價攀升至每兆瓦時666.5美元,較去年同期的30美元大幅上漲。

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