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消費電子50ETF、消電ETF、消費電子ETF升超3%,行業景氣度明顯回升

消費電子板塊上升,欣旺達盤中20CM升停,股價創2023年4月以來新高。

欣旺達昨晚公佈2024年半年度業績預吿稱,上半年,預計歸屬於上市公司股東的淨利潤7.67億-8.99億元,同比上升75%-105%;扣非淨利潤7.38億-8.70億元,同比上升99.79% - 135.38%。

歌爾股份延續昨日升勢,今日盤中再升超8%,股價再創2023年4月以來新高。歌爾股份上週五盤後公吿,預計上半年淨利11.81億元–12.65億元,同比增長180%–200%。

昨晚蘋果美股市場收升1.67%,再創歷史新高價,總市值超3.6萬億美元。蘋果公司被摩根士丹利列為首選股,摩根士丹利認為這家科技公司人工智能平台的推出將引發用户升級智能手機、平板電腦和電腦的創紀錄熱潮。

摩根士丹利分析師埃裏克·伍德林將蘋果目標價調高至273美元。他表示,Apple Intelligence有潛力推動破紀錄數量的設備升級,未來兩年iPhone出貨量將逼近5億,高於2021-2022年的破紀錄升級週期。

受以上消息刺激,消費電子ETF上升。截至13:45,易方達基金消費電子50ETF、國泰基金消電ETF、招商基金消費電子50ETF、富國基金消費電子ETF富國、華夏基金消費電子ETF升超3%。

7月資金淨流入消費電子ETF,其中,消費電子ETF富國月內“吸金”超1億。

目前市場上6只消費電子相關ETF,分別跟蹤中證消費電子主題指數和國證消費電子主題指數。

消費電子50ETF、消電ETF、消費電子ETF、消費電子ETF富國跟蹤中證消費電子指數,權重股包括立訊精密、京東方A、工業富聯、中芯國際、韋爾股份、兆易創新、瀾起科技、歌爾股份、長電科技、億緯鋰能等龍頭公司。

華夏消費電子ETF跟蹤國證消費電子主題指數,指數從滬深市場選取50只市值、流動性排名靠前的消費電子相關上市公司反映了消費電子行業的整體運行情況。

從消費電子行業基本面看,IDC統計,第二季全球智能手機付運量同比升6.5%至2.85億部,是連續第四個季度同比增長,但多個市場仍然有挑戰,尤其是龍頭競爭加劇而且兩極化,蘋果公司和韓國三星鞏固高端市場佔有率,不少內地廠商則加強低端手機銷售,因應需求疲弱期望以價換量。

受益於國產手機消費復甦,A股安卓供應鏈上市公司上半年業績普遍預增,數家公司業績扭虧為盈,而受蘋果iPhone產品持續降價促銷等影響,蘋果公司供應鏈企業上半年毛利率整體走低,業績分化。不過,業內人士認為,隨着iPhone新品即將面市,消費電子行業旺季到來,“果鏈”公司業績蓄勢待發。

國泰君安研報指出,存儲和AI下游復甦力度較強,傳統消費電子復甦力度較慢,預計三季度消費電子旺季有望全方位拉動需求上行,包括手機、PC、通用服務器等。國內多家芯片設計公司發佈業績預增公吿,考慮到三季度為消費電子旺季,看好蘋果產業鏈下游公司、數字SoC公司、存儲類下游公司、服務器類下游公司的業績。

西部證券表示,隨着端側AI從核心層到應用層技術的日趨成熟,消費電子終端進入了產品迭代的重要窗口期。各終端品牌廠商融入“AI血液”,創新不斷,有望引起終端用户的新一輪“換機潮”,同時,產業鏈相關企業有望充分受益。

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