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港股收評:三大指數齊創階段新高,房地產迎超級利好,融創中國升超25%

5月17日,恒指探底回升收升0.91%,國指、恒生科技指數分別上升0.92%及0.99%,三大指數盤中再度刷新階段新高,市場做多情緒繼續高升。

盤面上,大型科技股、大金融股等權重集體強勢支撐大市繼續走俏,阿里巴巴大升7.53%表現尤其搶眼;內險股領銜金融股上升,中國太保升6.5%,中國平安升5.7%;樓市重磅政策出台,內房股、物管股再度呈現大升行情,融創中國大升25.85%,建材水泥股等產業鏈跟隨走高;汽車經銷商股、半導體股、紙業股、重型機械股、電信股、石油股走勢活躍。另一方面,供給側改善尚不明顯,光伏產業暫難反轉,光伏股逆勢走低;重型機械股、生物科技股、蘋果概念股普遍下跌。

具體來看:

大型科技股表現強勢,阿里巴巴大升7.53%表現尤其搶眼,嗶哩嗶哩升超5%,網易、百度升超2%,京東升超1%。

內房股集體拉昇,融創中國升超25%,雅居樂集團升超24%,萬科企業升超19%,中國金茂、美的置業、富力地產、龍湖集團、越秀地產升超10%。消息面上,央行宣佈取消全國層面首套住房和二套住房商業性個人住房貸款利率政策下限;2024年5月18日起,下調個人住房公積金貸款利率0.25個百分點。央行、國家金融監督管理總局宣佈,首套房商貸最低首付比例調整為不低於15%,二套不低於25%。

物管股強勢上攻,恒大物業升超34%,合景悠活升超18%,遠洋服務升超17%,浦江中國升超16%,融創服務、時代鄰里、佳兆業美好、碧桂園服務紛紛上升。

國內零售股升幅靠前,茂業國際升13.87%,永旺、百盛集團升超4%,歲寶百貨升2.17%。杭州市發佈《關於進一步促進“演賽展商旅”聯動,打造“不夜杭州•購物天堂”的若干措施(徵求意見稿)》。方案提出,支持杭州企業爭取免税牌照,支持國產老字號、新品牌申請離境退税商店經營資質。

內險股普升,中國太保、眾安在線升超6%,中國平安、中國太平、中國人壽升超5%。有報吿指,香港上市的壽險股價格便宜,股息率為6%至8%,對盈利能力和償付能力資本管理的新關注也應該會帶動更好的股票表現。

中資券商股整體上行,中國銀河升5.26%,中信建投證券升4.68%,東方證券、中金公司、光大證券、招商證券、廣發證券升超3%。

鋼鐵板塊飄紅,馬鞍山鋼鐵股份、鞍鋼股份、重慶鋼鐵股份升超4%。中金公司研報表示,鋼鐵庫存自春節後進入主動去庫週期,目前庫存已經降至較低位,供需間的緩衝墊更薄,若後續鋼鐵需求出現復甦或復甦預期持續強化,庫存週期很可能進入被動去庫或主動補庫,二者形成共振,從而推動鋼價上升與鋼企盈利的修復。

光伏太陽能股走弱,福萊特玻璃、信義光能跌超8%,福耀玻璃跌4.74%,協鑫科技跌2.16%,彩虹新能源、陽光能源跟跌。中國有色金屬工業協會硅業分會最新發布的數據顯示,本週多晶硅價格持續下滑,其中,N型棒狀硅成交均價為4.30萬元/噸,環比下降5.08%。P型緻密料成交均價為3.73萬元/噸,環比下降4.36%。N型顆粒硅成交均價為3.75萬元/噸,環比下降6.25%。

生物技術股多數下行,樂普生物跌超6%,鉅子生物、榮昌生物跌超5%,再鼎醫藥、泰格醫藥、藥明生物跌超3%。

內地教育股普跌,東軟教育跌7.86%,思考樂教育跌6.4%,創聯控股、博駿教育跌超5%,卓越教育集團、嘉宏教育跌超4%。

今日,南向資金淨買入59.57億港元,其中港股通(滬)淨買入33.56億港元,港股通(深)淨買入26.01億港元。

展望後市,海通策略認為,近期港股表現出色,外資明顯迴流及國內政策催化或是主要原因。當前港股上升或主要由交易型資金驅動,長線配置資金迴流或有賴於宏微觀基本面進一步企穩。二季度A股或處蓄勢階段,短期白馬穩定更穩健,中期主線關注中國優勢製造和硬科技等。

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