《即日市評》港股向下 沽空率飆升 長實急挫一成
阿思達克 03-22 17:16
人民幣匯價走弱及市場關注部分藍籌股削減派息，港股今日(22日)向下。美股道指及納指隔晚(21日)創新高，各收市升0.68%及0.2%，執筆之時，美國10年期債券孳息率處於4.239厘，美匯指數升至104.35，道指期貨最新升15點或0.04%，納指期貨最新升0.2%。離岸及在岸人幣創四個月低，上證綜指全日跌29點或0.95%收3,048點，深證成指跌1.2%，而滬深兩市成交額共近1.1萬億元人民幣。
港股今日受壓，恆指低開117點後跌幅擴大，曾跌521點一度低見16,341點，尾市跌幅收窄，全日跌363點或2.2%，收16,499點；國指跌147點或2.5%，收5,757點；恆生科技指數跌127點或3.6%，收3,455點。大市全日總成交額增至1,356.53億元，滬、深港通南下交易淨流入91.23億及70.26億元。據報阿里-SW(09988.HK)減持嗶哩嗶哩ADR套現近3.6億美元，阿里股價跌2.1%，嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)挫9.4%，騰訊(00700.HK)跌0.8%；美團-W(03690.HK)今日收市後公布業績，全日股價下滑近4.4%。
恆指本周累跌221點或1.3%、國指本周累跌62點或1.1%、恆生科指本周累跌93點或2.6%。日本央行本周初宣布結束負利率及孳息率曲線控制政策，並十七年來首次加息，而美聯儲局周中亦維持利率不變，指今年某個時候開始放鬆貨幣政策是合適，但部份藍籌股公布業績遜預期及削減派息。
【科網股造淡 平安績後挫】
中移動(00941.HK)去年純利升5%遜預期，全日股價仍升0.6%。中國平安(02318.HK)去年淨利潤跌23%，全日股價跌5.8%。花旗表示中國平安去年利及稅後盈利低預期，內含價值未達標，去年第四季資產管理淨虧損從2023年第三季的58億元人民幣擴大至164億元人民幣，下調對其目標價由54.5元降至52.6元，維持「買入」評級。
【沽空率飆升 長實跌一成】
港股今日市寬轉弱，主板股票的升跌比率為11比32(上日為27比16)，下跌1,360隻(跌幅3.2%)，恆指成份股今日9隻股份上升，73隻股份下跌，升跌比率為11比89(上日為90比10)；大市今日錄沽空398.1億元，佔可沽空股份成交額1,235.63億元的32.219%(上日為22.267%)，升至近期高位，其中盈富基金沽空金額141.57億元(其全日成交額189.34億元)。
長實集團(01113.HK)削派息令市場意外，遭券商下調投資評級，全日股價挫10.7%。摩根士丹利發表報告指出，長實集團去年股息削減10%，與每股盈利跌幅10%一致，儘管公司重申回購承諾，但仍令人感到意外。雖然在目前不確定且高息環境下可以理解公司削減股息，惟預期會引起市場的負面反應，尤其是公司資產負債表強勁。
長實管理層考慮到選舉、地緣政治局勢緊張、中港房地產市場疲弱及高息環境下，對前景持審慎態度。該行將長實的評級，由「增持」下調至「與大市同步」，目標價由52元下調至40元，並將其今明兩年的每股盈測下調20%至25%，主要受物業發展的利潤率下降等影響。
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