《即日市評》恆指升幅收窄 濠賭股舞高
美聯儲持利率不變,主席鮑威爾稱或不準備於今年3月開始減息,市場憧憬美經濟軟著陸,港股今日(1日)反覆造好。美股道指及納指隔晚(31日)各跌0.8%及2.2%,撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.941厘,美匯指數升至103.77,道指期貨最新升32點或0.08%,納指期貨最新升0.55%。1月財新中國製造業PMI維持於50.8勝預期,上證綜指全日反覆跌17點或0.64%收2,770點,深證成指回升0.3%,內地創業板指數升1%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,030億元人民幣。
恆指高開37點後升幅擴大,曾升319點見15,805點,中午恆指升幅收窄,全日升81點或0.5%,收15,566點;國指升29點或0.6%,收5,223點;恆生科技指數升60點或2%,收3,065點。大市全日成交總額949.07億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入6.59億及淨流出5.26億元人民幣。
匯豐銀行維持5.875%最優惠利率,匯控(00005.HK)跌近0.6%收60.9元,中銀香港(02388.HK)下滑近0.9%。地產股走個別,新地(00016.HK)及新世界發展(00017.HK)各下滑0.4%及升2.4%。
【憧美軟著陸 港股有支持】
科網股造好,騰訊(00700.HK)、小米-W(01810.HK)及京東-SW(09618.HK)升0.4%至0.8%,百度-SW(09888.HK)升1.4%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及網易-S(09999.HK)升2.2%及2.8%。
野村發表報告指,美國聯儲局宣布維持利率不變,在最新一次議息會議後取態略顯鷹派,主席鮑威爾更暗示3月或不會減息。野村預期美國軟著陸將主導市場,並在未來幾個月內為股市帶來支持,仍傾向輕微看好股票市場。整體而言,野村對股市持溫和樂觀看法,指出在3月美聯儲議息會議舉行前,仍有勞動市場及核心CPI數據快將公布,認為美國科技企業的業績及發展前景將繼續左右市場走勢,同時關注芯片周期性復甦和人工智能等投資主題能否會繼續為股價帶來支持。
【市寬呈改善 濠賭股舞高】
港股主板今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為22比18(上日12比30);恆指成份股今日50隻股份上升,30隻股份下跌,升跌比率為61比37(上日為16比83);大市今日錄沽空188.37億元,佔可沽空股份成交額795.41億元的23.683%(上日20.353%)。
濠賭股彈高,金沙中國(01928.HK)上揚4.2%收21.35元,銀娛(00027.HK)彈高5.9%,新濠國際(00200.HK)漲6.9%。澳門博彩監察協調局公布,2024年1月博彩毛收入193.37億澳門元,按年增67%,高於市場預期的180億澳門元。
摩根士丹利發表研究報告指,澳門公布今年1月博彩收入為193億澳門元,按年增長67%,高於大摩預測的188億澳門元及市場普遍預測的189億澳門元。期內日均賭收達6.24億澳門元,與市場預測今年全年日均賭收6.26億澳門元相比仍有上行空間。大摩指,2024年1月賭收已恢復至2019年同期的約78%,較去年第四季度的恢復至75%進一步改善,預測2月賭收可達到200億澳門元,日均賭收料達6.91億澳門元,按月增長4%,憧憬農曆新年假期及演唱會將推動增長。
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