《即日市評》恆指本周累跌逾5% 科指累挫近一成
美匯指數持續攀升,港股今日(19日)隨A股反覆向下。美國公布上周初次申領失業金人數跌至16個月最低,且遠少於預期,市場對美聯儲局減息預期進一步降溫,美股道指及納指隔晚(18日)各升0.5%及1.4%;撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.153厘,美匯指數升至103.47,道指期貨最新跌3點或0.01%,納指期貨最新升0.4%。上證綜指全日下滑13點或0.47%收2,832點,深證成指跌0.68%,而滬深兩市成交額共6,666億元人民幣。
恆指今日先升後跌。大市高開12點後,一度升148點曾高見15,540點,其後倒跌,午後曾跌183點低見15,207點,全日收報15,308點,跌83點或0.5%;國指跌44點或0.9%,收報5,127點;恆生科技指數亦跌46點或1.5%,收報3,129點。大市全日成交總額968.72億元,滬、深港通南下交易全日淨流入18.33億及5.38億元人民幣。醫藥股受壓,藥明生物(02269.HK)全日跌2.6%,信達生物(01801.HK)下滑8.9%,康方生物(09926.HK)挫8.6%。此外,中寶新材(02439.HK)尾市沽壓增,全日下瀉64%收0.97元。
恆指本周累跌935點或5.8%、國指本周累跌354點或6.5%、恆生科指本周累跌340點或9.8%。美國本周公布多項經濟數據後,令市場對美聯儲局於3月起啟動減息的憧憬消退,市場亦關注人行於本周一超額續做中期借貸便利(MLF)但出乎意料未有減息。而恆指已連跌三周,累跌1,738點或10.2%。
【恆指連跌三周 累積挫逾一成】
科網股向下,騰訊(00700.HK)全日下滑2.3%收271.2元,阿里-SW(09988.HK)及美團-W(03690.HK)股價各下跌1.7%及1.6%,快手-W(01024.HK)走低3.5%。星展發表研究報告指,今年內地互聯網行業中,繼續看好線上旅遊板塊,相信具有明顯的增長前景,料收入增長約18%,且監管憂慮最低。該行又看好電商板塊,將會受惠消費降級,因應去年零售銷售令人失望,增長預測重新調整為8%。
網絡遊戲方面,該行表示,監管機構於去年12月發布《網路遊戲管理辦法》草案徵求意見稿,引發對網路遊戲板塊的監管憂慮升級。雖然監管部門一直向市場重新發出更多正面訊號,但該行預計,在今年發布修訂草案之前,遊戲板塊的短期情緒將保持謹慎。該行在中資科網股中首選拼多多(PDD.US)及攜程-S(09961.HK),認為拼多多在執行「低價策略」方面表現良好。
【下跌股千一隻 汽車股受壓】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比26(上日25為比15),下跌股份1,111隻(跌幅3.2%),恆指成份股今日22隻股份上升,下跌股份57隻,升跌比率為27比70(上日為73比23);大市今日錄沽空178.58億元,佔可沽空股份成交額827.47億元的21.582%(上日為20.003%)。
新能源汽車股受壓,零跑(09863.HK)跌4.8%。小鵬-W(09868.HK)跌4%。據中國乘用車市場信息聯席會微信公眾號消息,預計本月狹義乘用車零售約220萬輛左右,按月減少6.5%。受去年初超低基數影響,按年增長70.2%。新能源汽車零售預計80萬輛左右,按月減少15.3%,滲透率約36.4%。
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