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《即日市評》港股向下 東方甄選彈 盈富成交急升逾兩倍
受匯控(00005.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)及美團(03690.HK)等拖累下,恆指今日反覆向下。美股上周五(15日)「四期結算日」,道指及納指各升0.2%及0.4%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券跌至3.905厘,美匯指數跌至102.46,道指期貨最新升42點或0.11%,納指期貨最新升0.1%。上證綜指全日跌11點或0.4%收2,930點,深證成指跌1.1%,而滬深兩市成交額共6,926億人民幣。 恆指低開122點後反覆受壓,午後曾跌219點一度低見16,572點,全日跌162點或0.97%,收報16,629點;國指跌65點或1.2%,收報5,634點;恆生科技指數跌50點或1.3%,收報3,730點。大市全日成交總額943.17億元,滬、深港通南下交易全日淨流入67.57億及58.2億元人民幣。商湯(00020.HK)創始人湯曉鷗因病逝世,股價全日跌11.1%。 盈富基金(02800.HK)全日跌1.1%,成交額較上交易日(15日)大升2.6倍至144.8億元;恆生中國企業(02828)跌1.2%錄成交額逾41億元;南方恆生科技(03033.HK)跌近1.3%錄成交額38億元,三隻ETF居港股今日最高成交額榜上「三甲」,而三隻ETF成交共逾224億元,佔港股總體成交額逾23%。此外,匯控全日股價下滑1.6%收60.35元,友邦股價跌近1.3%。科網股走個別,美團走低2.1%。 【匯控友邦跌 東方甄選彈】 東方甄選(01797.HK)「小作文」風波暫告一段落,公司CEO孫東旭被免職,由主席俞敏洪兼任,且董宇輝升為高級合夥人,股價全日漲21.9%,成交額近28.2億元。申萬宏源發表報告指,東方甄選人事紛爭結束,近日關於東方甄選的話題頻上熱搜,認為會為公司帶來一波新的流量,支持公司直播業務的繼續發展。 申萬宏源稱,本次事件體現東方甄選內部管理的疏漏。公司迅速做出了人事調整,彰顯其優化管理的決心。此外本次事件引發的有關核心主播重要性的討論可能會令市場擔憂東方甄選經營的穩定性。該行認為從教育起家的新東方深知依靠少數名師對公司教育業務發展的阻礙。而直播帶貨業務中依賴少數主播創收的模式亦不可行。因此預計公司將依靠母公司新東方豐富的人才儲備,培養更多的優秀主播,減少對單一主播的依賴。 【沽空率急升 航運股受捧】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為13比29(上日為30比13),下跌股份1,200隻(跌幅2.6%),恆指成份股今日8隻股份上升,下跌股份71隻,升跌比率為10比87(上日為90比10);大市今日錄沽空247.41億元,佔可沽空股份成交額807.32億元的30.646%(上日為15.592%),其中盈富基金沽空金額達113.09億元。 航運股逆市上揚,海豐國際(01308.HK)抽高14.8%。中遠海控(01919.HK)漲7.5%。中遠海能(01138.HK)與太平洋航運(02343.HK)各升6.7%及5.7%。中遠海運(00517.HK)升近1%。東方海外(00316.HK)彈高4.2% 中金指,近期紅海區域航行風險增加,12月15日至16日,馬士基、赫伯羅特、MSC及達飛均表示暫停紅海海域的航線服務,其中赫伯羅特暫停至12月18日,其他船公司表示暫停至另行通知,MSC還表明部分航線的船舶將開始繞行好望角,而此前以色列船東以星已經開始繞行非洲航線。該行認為上述事件表明紅海區域船舶航行風險增加,或對航運貿易路線及供應鏈安全帶來一定影響。 該行指,紅海及蘇伊士運河是全球重要的海運通道之一,繞行增加全球海運平均運距。根據Clarksons,全球約10%的海運交易量通過蘇伊士運河運輸,若遠東-北歐航線從途徑蘇伊士運河改為經好望角繞行,運距約增長30%。中金認為,船舶繞行對集裝箱運輸影響或更大,或能部分吸收明年新交付運力,但影響程度取決於紅海區域船舶航行的不安全程度及持續時長。
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