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植耀輝:美股續反彈 港股再度考驗萬七點支持
阿思達克 11-01 09:47
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,隔晚(31日)美股在10月最後一個交易日續反彈,三大指數均有所上升,當中道指上升0.4%,標普500指數及納指則分別上升0.7%及0.5%。投資者繼續關注美國聯儲局議息會議結果及蘋果(AAPL.US)季績表現。 A股方面,內地10月PMI數據遜預期,A股輕微低開後跌幅擴大,不過午後跌幅有所收窄,上綜指更一度倒升,最終收報3,018點,微跌2點,深成指則跌0.65%;不過成交金額則稍爲回落至約9,200億元人民幣。 港股在昨日則再度下跌,並再次考驗17,000點支持。恆指低開69點後跌勢加劇,在內地公佈PMI數據後走勢持續轉弱,午後早段更跌至17,042點日內低位;不過隨着A股反彈,港股跌幅亦有所收窄,最終恆指收報17,112點,下跌293點或1.7%,科指跌幅更達到2.5%,收報3,759點,全日成交金額846.5億元。總結10月份,恆指累跌697點或3.9%,科指則跌161點或4.12%,兩個指數均爲連續三個月下跌。 市場氣氛未見改善,加上內地經濟數據表現遜預期,增添後市之不確定性。但正如筆者早前強調,17,000點水平支持力不俗,預期該水平仍能守穩,只是後市亦缺乏上升動力,尤其是本週尚有聯儲局議息及企績因素。預期恆指支持將續爲17,000點水平,17,500點則屬短期阻力位。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ****** 港股走勢續未明朗 耀才研究部稱,隔晚(31日)美股三大指數造好,當中標普500指數升近0.65%,道指及納指則分別上升0.4%及0.5%。至於反映中概股表現之金龍指數則下跌1.69%。 港股方面,昨日走勢又再度轉差,恆指最多曾跌364點,雖然跌幅其後有所收窄,但全日計仍跌293點或1.7%,收報17,11點,科指則跌2.5%。全日成交金額略爲減少至846.5億元。總結10月份表現,恆指累計跌幅達到3.9%,科指跌幅更超過4%。至於A股走勢亦一般,上綜指全日僅微跌2點,深成指則下跌0.65%。港股短期難有太大突破,始終市場未見太多利好消息,昨日公佈之PMI資料亦遜於市場預期;本週另一重點爲聯儲局議息會議及非數資料。預期市況仍會較反覆,於17,000至17,500點水準上落。 至於技術分析角度,恆指早前未能企穩20天線後,經昨日之下跌後,恆指10天線(17,300點)又再度得而復失,短期若未能再度重上此水準,後市將受制於此阻力之餘,亦有機會加劇下行之風險,故短期17,000點水準不宜有失。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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