《即日市評》恆指三連跌 港交所業績優預期
美國十年債息高企,市場憂利率將會處於高水平一段較長時間,港股今日持續向下。美聯儲局主席鮑威爾指調整貨幣政策時將「謹慎行事」,其言論讓年底前美國再加息預期降溫,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.75%及0.96%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.939厘,美匯指數處106.25,道指期貨最新跌16點或0.03%,納指期貨最新跌0.15%。人行對10月份一年及五年期LPR維持不變(符預期)、進行8,280億元人民幣逆回購操作,單日淨投放大增7,330億人民幣規模創紀錄高。上證綜指失守3,000點關,全日跌22點或0.74%收2,983點,深證成指跌0.88%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,317億人民幣。
恆指今早低開168點,初段曾倒升13點見17,309點,尾市再度轉弱,全日跌123點或0.7%,收17,172點,連跌三日(累跌601點或3.4%);國指全日跌52點或0.9%,收5,871點;恆生科技指數跌38點或1%,收3,662點。大市全日成交總額827.76億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入23.23億及11.13億元人民幣。中移動(00941.HK)股價走低1.3%。
恆指本周累跌641點或3.6%、國指本周累跌244點或4%及恆生科指本周累跌217點或5.6%。市場憂以巴局勢緊張,擔心地緣政治風險升溫,而美國三十年期美債孳息率近日逼近5厘創逾十六年高。
【科技股偏軟 碧桂園炒高】
科技股方面,阿里(09988.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價均跌近0.8%,美團(03690.HK)及小米(01810.HK)跌2.4%及2.1%。內房股走個別,傳碧桂園(02007.HK)債權人就潛在債務重組尋求緊急談判,碧桂園炒高5.6%。融創中國(01918.HK)升4.7%,富力(02777.HK)股價升3.8%,但恆大(03333.HK)則跌3.7%。
中信証券發表內房行業報告,認為國統局9月數據略顯滯後,該行預計10月數據將充分反映9月以來需求側政策發力的效果。該行預計內房政策將繼續加碼,穩住預期之後,政策重心可能轉向穩投資。該行認為,核心城市繼續放開限購,按揭貸款利率下限的進一步打開,按揭貸款首付比例要求的下調,普通住宅認定標準的調整等各類政策的出台,仍將在未來一段時間起到助力需求的作用。
【跌股一千隻 港交所靠穩】
港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比25(上日10比31),下跌股份1,071隻(跌幅2.3%);恆指成份股今日26隻股份上升,50隻股份下跌,升跌比率為33比63(上日為6比93);大市今日錄沽空172.37億元,佔可沽空股份成交額716.3億元的24.065%(上日20.54%)。
港交所(00388.HK)全日股價上升0.9%收285.2元。公司中午公布中期業績,純利達29.53億元,按年增長30.5%,略高於本網綜合7間券商預測介乎26.92億元至29.42億元的上限;基本每股盈利2.33元,不派季度息。第三季收入及其他收益達50.84億元,按年增長17.7%。第三季聯交所平均每日成交金額達約984億元,按年增長0.8%。
花旗發表報告表示,港交所第三季純利30億元按年升30%(按季升2%),大致符合證券同業預期,其核心收入錄34億元按季持平(按年跌4%),較市場同業原預期低4%,上季投資收入達12億元按季升6%,高於市場同業原預期13%。該行認為港交所上季業績好壞參半,交易收入弱於預期,但被強勁的投資收入和更好的成本控制所抵銷,並指市場情緒依然疲軟,可能繼續影響公司今年第四季的核心營收表現。該行維持對港交所「沽售」評級及目標價270元。
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