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《即日市評》以巴局勢緊張 港股續跌 科網及內需股受壓
市場憂以巴局勢緊張及A股向下,市場避險情緒升溫,港股今日持續回落。以軍連日大規模空襲加沙地帶,美國總統拜登認為巴勒斯坦武裝組織哈馬斯必須徹底消滅,但同時必須有一條通往巴勒斯坦建國的道路,並警告伊朗不要越過邊界讓戰事升級。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.677厘,美匯指數處106.46,道指期貨最新升86點或0.25%,納指期貨最新微升0.07%。人行超額續做1年期中期借貸便利(MLF)操作,規模7,890億元人民幣,中標利率維持2.5厘,上證綜指今日跌14點或0.46%收3,073點,深證成指跌1.4%(失守1萬點關),內地創業板指數跌2%,而滬深兩市成交額共8,129億人民幣。 恆指低開10點,初段曾倒升44點見17,858點,午後最多跌211點見17,601點,全日跌173點或1%,收17,640點;國指跌66點或1.1%,收6,049點;恆生科技指數跌68點或1.8%,收3,811點。大市全日成交總額降至737.91億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入27.88億及25.86億元人民幣。中國平安(02318.HK)股價走低2.7%,匯控(00005.HK)走低1.1%收61.8元。 【恆指再下跌 科網股偏軟】 科網股造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價下滑1.8%收301.2元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)股價各走低近1.6%及0.8%,嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)全日價跌3.1%收104.6元。中金發表報告,預測騰訊第三季收入按年增長10%至1,541億元人民幣,非國際會計準測(Non-IFRS)淨利潤按年增長31%至421億元人民幣,並認為公司視頻號勢頭良好,期待後續新遊助力。 該行指出,第三季遊戲行業進入暑期,而《無畏契約》、《命運方舟》及《冒險島》等遊戲如期而至,料騰訊季內國內遊戲收入按年增速為5%,但後續仍需要更加優質的作品驅動遊戲業務加速才能進一步增強市場信心,建議關注《元夢之星》等新遊表現。此外,該行預計騰訊第三季廣告收入按年增長22%。其中視頻號廣告仍為明確的重要增量,廣告加載率仍有提升空間,但由於視頻號去年三季開始商業化,基數效應將逐漸消化。 【跌股千二隻 內需股受壓】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比29(上日10比31),下跌股份1,241隻(跌幅2.9%);恆指成份股今日16隻股份上升,61隻股份下跌,升跌比率為20比76(上日為5比93);大市今日錄沽空143億元,佔可沽空股份成交額623.14億元的22.948%(上日21.078%)。 部份內需股有沽壓,康師傅(00322.HK)股價挫4.9%,海底撈(06862.HK)跌4.2%,李寧(02331.HK)下滑3.7%。此外,國藥(01099.HK)股價挫6.4%。 匯豐環球研究發表報告指,考慮到消費需求復甦放緩和部分原材料價格上漲影響,下調康師傅今年至後年盈利預測各1.2%。今年總收入預測亦下調1.2%。目標價由13.9元下調至12.6元。該行對康師傅中長期的基本面改善仍充滿信心,預計集團將繼續擴大在方便麵市場的份額,維持「買入」評級。(wl/u) ~
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