《即日市評》聯儲局「放鴿」 恆指四連升 碧桂園逆市挫
聯儲局副主席傑斐遜「放鴿」指美長期國債收益率攀升直接影響借貸成本,或促使當局不再進一步上調短期政策利率,港股今日衝高後回順。美股道指及納指隔晚各反覆升0.6%及0.4%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.657厘,美匯指數跌至105.89,道指期貨最新升63點或0.19%,納指期貨最新升0.3%。上證綜指今日跌21點或0.7%收3,075點,深證成指跌0.6%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,747人民幣。
恆指高開209點,初段曾升399點見17,916點,其後升幅收窄,全日升147點或0.8%,收17,664點,連升四個交易日(累升468點或2.7%);國指全日升54點或0.9%,收6,052點;恆生科技指數升49點或1.3%,收3,874點。大市全日成交總額796.79億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入43.29億及29.79億元人民幣。友邦(01299.HK)股價微升0.07%,中海油(00883.HK)漲近0.9%。
【恆指「四連升」美團阿里揚】
科技股造好,騰訊(00700.HK)全日漲0.4%收308.2,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及小米(01810.HK)各升近1.6%及2.8%,美團(03690.HK)走高3.1%。近日美團閃購發布《2023中秋國慶出行季消費趨勢報告》。報告顯示,今年,國慶、中秋雙節加持,禮贈、出行場景疊加,今年雙節較去年同期,異地訂單漲幅高達86%。
美團閃購指,數碼家電、美妝個護、運動戶外、母嬰玩具、日百服飾等與出行場景高度相關品類,漲幅靠前,訂單量分別按年增長141%、112%、100%、94%、88%。即時零售走向全品類繁榮的同時,也呈現出全地域、全場景繁榮態勢。報告顯示,一二線城市迅速增長,三線及以下低線城市漲幅高達42%。
【碧桂園下挫 東方海外弱】
港股主板今日市寬變動不大,主板股票的升跌比率為21比21(上日21比17);恆指成份股今日64隻股份上升,14隻股份下跌,升跌比率為64比14(上日為43為54);大市今日錄沽空156.53億元,佔可沽空股份成交額673.85億元的23.229%(上日19.974%)。
碧桂園(02007.HK)全日股價下挫10.7%收0.75元。碧桂園於今日(10日)開市前發公告稱未能償付4.7億元到期債,懇請債權人給予時間。另外,碧桂園已委托中金公司作為財務顧問,協助處理境外債務重組事宜。摩根士丹利發表報告指,由於房地產銷售低迷,碧桂園的經營現金流自今年第二季以來一直為負值,並且有大量離岸債券將於12月和明年1月到期。因此,該行認為市場已預期出現潛在的債務重組,尤其是在碧桂園最近的在岸債券延期之後。鑒於碧桂園將優先完成預售項目,該消息可能會進一步損害碧桂園的物業銷售和品牌,從而收緊其新推盤的流動性。
中遠海控(01919.HK)股價下滑3.8%,東方海外(00316.HK)股價挫近6.1%。摩根士丹利發表技術意見報告,預料東方海外未來60天股價跑輸大市,發生機率70至80%。目標價77.2元,評級「減持」。該行認為,東方海外第三季度疲軟的營運數據反映出,與今年上半年相比,下半年盈利情況將會惡化,並可能會引發負面的市場情緒。
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