《即日市評》人幣回升 恆指萬八關失而復得 恆大融創炒上
人民幣匯價回升,恆指今日(11日)先跌後略收窄,重上萬八關。美股道指及納指上周五(8日)各升0.2%及0.1%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.282厘,美匯指數跌至104.67,道指期貨最新升67點或0.2%,納指期貨最新升0.2%。內地近日公布8月CPI按年轉升0.1%符預期、8月PPI按年續跌3%,人行今日中午公布8月新增人民幣貸款1.36萬億人幣(市場預期1.25萬億人幣)、8月社會融資規模增量3.12萬億人幣(市場預期2.69萬億人幣),而人行全國外匯市場自律機制專題會議今日在北京召開指人民幣匯率有堅實基礎保持穩定,人民幣即期收升509點報7.2906兌一美元。上證綜指今日反覆升26點或0.84%,收3,142點,深證成指升近1%,而滬深兩市成交額共近8,412億元人民幣
恆指低開260點後,早段曾跌359點見17,842點,其後人民幣匯價上升,內地上月新增貸款亦勝預期,大市尾市跌幅收窄,全日跌105點或0.6%,收18,096點;國指跌15點或0.3%,收6,298點;恆生科技指數跌8點或0.2%,收報4,083點。大市全日成交總額1,244.83億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出33.63億及37.71億元人民幣。
內房股發展不一,碧桂園(02007.HK)跌3.7%,但恆大(03333.HK)抽升20.3%,融創中國(01918.HK)飆升23.8%。
【阿里股價弱 「B站」有沽壓】
科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)及美團-W(03690.HK)全日各漲0.7%及0.6%,阿里-SW(09988.HK)股價下滑3%收88.05元。高盛發表報告指,阿里宣布張勇正式卸任阿里董事會主席及首席執行官職務,由蔡崇信及吳泳銘接任。阿里今年6月公布,張勇原定在將卸任主席及首席執行官後,將繼續擔任阿里雲智能集團董事長兼首席執行官,但如今集團卻宣布,吳泳銘將接替張勇出任阿里雲智能集團代理董事長兼首席執行官。該行表示,阿里雲管理層出現變動,可能會令市場感到意外,料投資者將關注新管理層的任何進一步公布及澄清,以了解集團最新的組織戰略和各業務的資本市場計劃。此外,有傳阿里巴巴正擱置旗下盒馬鮮生在香港上市的計劃,盒馬鮮生對此不予置評。
「B站」嗶哩嗶哩-W(09626.HK)全日股價下滑4.3%收111.5元。瑞銀表示,嗶哩嗶哩旗下遊戲《閃耀!優俊少女》在內地推出八天後,據公司微博宣布自上周四(7日)6時起暫時關閉客戶端下載入口,技術升級後將盡快恢復上架。該行與嗶哩嗶哩核實,暫時下架的原因是遊戲中的部份圖像包含未翻譯成中文的日文文字,公司正在進行調整,而該遊戲已從應用商店和官方下載渠道下架,而現有玩家仍可以照常遊戲。據《七麥數據》統計,《閃耀!優俊少女》iOS遊戲下載排名已從上線時的前3名,跌至近期的20名以下。因此該行認為《閃耀!優俊少女》的下載高峰應該已經過去了。該遊戲在首次上線並取得iOS遊戲收入排名第10至15名後,其收入下降速度超出了該行預期。
【市寬略改善 新地績後挫】
港股主板今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為20比21(上日13比29);恆指成份股今日33隻股份上升,下跌股份43隻,升跌比率為41比54(上日為18為82);大市今日錄沽空198.74億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,111億元的17.887%(上日24.588%)。
新地(00016.HK)表示未來將收緊派息比率修訂至四至五成,市場憂其未來派息或有削減風險,全日股價挫9.5%報79.95元。恆地(00012.HK)及新世界(00017.HK)各跌4%及6.1%。
美銀證券表示,香港最大房地產公司新鴻基地產意外地公布收緊股息政策,未來將分派其基礎溢利的40%至50%為股息,此將引起投資者對其他本地地產股採取類似舉措的擔憂。該行指,雖然利率上升和住宅環境疲軟帶來的壓力確實存在,但相信新地上述決定是出於充分的謹慎而非巨大的壓力。
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