《即日市評》憂內房債務違約 恆指失萬九 碧桂園及車股捱沽
阿思達克 08-14 17:04
據報中融信托逾3,500億人幣信託產品暫停兌付，市場憂慮內房股債務違約問題，恆指今日向下及失守萬九關。美股道指及納指上周五(11日)各升0.3%及0.7%，執筆之時，美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.156厘，美匯指數升至102.81，道指期貨最新升49點或0.14%，納指期貨最新升0.4%。內地上周五收市後公布7月信貸數據遜預期，憂宏觀經濟面臨挑戰，人民幣即期收跌197點報7.2537兌一美元。上證綜指今日跌10點或0.3%收3,178點，深證成指跌0.5%，而滬深兩市成交額共7,420億人民幣人民幣。
恆指低開377點後跌幅擴大，曾挫520點一度低見18,554點，其後跌幅收窄，全日跌301點或1.6%，收18,773點；國指跌116點或1.8%，收6,423點；恆生科技指數跌64點或1.5%，收4,208點。大市全日成交總額1,041.47億元，滬、深港通南下交易淨流入54.63億及49.44億元人民幣。騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價跌0.8%，阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價下滑2.6%，美團(03690.HK)升1.3%。
【失守萬九關 碧桂園捱沽】
內房股受壓，碧桂園(02007.HK)11筆境內債券停牌，全日股價挫18.4%收0.8元，同系物管股碧服(06098.HK)跌9.7%。遠洋(03377.HK)未付2,094萬美元票息違約，全日股價跌5.1%。此外，合景泰富(01813.HK)跌10.9%，富力(02777.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)各跌8.3%及6.3%。
摩根士丹利發表報告指，過去兩周與50多位機構投資者會面，他們大部分都看淡內房前景，對內房和物管股持倉有限。報告指，大部分機構投資者普遍不期待有大的刺激政策出台，並關注目前寬鬆措施是否能對房地產銷售產生重大影響，尤其擔心碧桂園可能出現債務違約帶來的蔓延風險。他們亦已減持內房板塊，並在場外等待有關政策和實際市場改善的更多信號。
【跌股千三隻 汽車股受壓】
港股主板今日市寬轉弱，主板股票的升跌比率為11比32(上日17比22)，下跌股份1,341隻(跌幅2.8%)；恆指成份股今日7隻股份上升，下跌股份71隻，升跌比率為8比89(上日為58為35)；大市今日錄沽空239.32億元，佔可沽空股份成交額890.16億元的26.885%。
Tesla(TSLA.US)調低中國Model Y長續航及高性能版售價，汽車股跑輸大市。零跑(09863.HK)及東風(00489.HK)跌6.3%及7.2%，比亞迪(01211.HK)跌6.2%，小鵬汽車(09868.HK)跌3%。
摩根大通指，中資汽車股將會陸續公布中期業績，預期大部分廠商第二季盈利疲弱，股價在7月的升勢後出現調整，相信弱勢持續，投資者亦會調整對下半年業績的預期。該行指，7月份內地乘用車銷售符合預期，但按月持續放緩，行業減價幅度創新高，經銷商庫存亦上升，反映第二季業績疲弱，不過出口保持強勁，相信出口市場繼續是中國品牌的策略性焦點。
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