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《即日市評》憧美停加息 恆生科指彈5% 內房股舞高
美國參議院通過暫停債務上限法案,美總統拜登指將盡快簽署法案,市場亦憧憬美聯儲6月或暫停加息,港股受科網及內房股帶動回升。美股道指及納指隔晚各升近0.5%及1.3%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.61厘,美匯指數跌至103.45,道指期貨最新升131點或0.4%,納指期貨最新升0.3%。人民幣即期急升429點收報7.0750兌一美元,上證綜指今日升25點或0.8%或收3,230點,深證成指升1.5%,滬深兩市成交額共9,406億人民幣。 恆指高開349點後升幅擴大,曾升808點一度見19,024點,全日升733點或4%,收18,949點;國指升278點或4.5%,收6,428點;恆生科技指數升193點或5.3%,收3,824點。恆指季檢於收市後生效,大市全日成交總額增至1,491.37億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入8.82億及淨流出10.06億元人民幣。下周一將晉身「藍籌」的華潤電力(00836.HK)、紫金礦業(02899.HK)、京東健康(06618.HK)及攜程(09961.HK)今日股價各升1.9%、5.5%、2.7%及6.3%。 恆指本周累升203點或1.1%、國指本周累升94點或1.5%、恆生科指本周累升133點或3.6%。市場關注美國債務上限談判進展,周初拜登與美國眾議院議長就債務上限達成最終協議,投資者亦關注在岸人幣早前一度跌穿7.1關水平。 【憧美停加息 科指彈半成】 市場憧憬美聯儲6月或暫停加息,科網股今日受追捧,騰訊(00700.HK)美團(03690.HK)全日股價各彈高近6%及7.8%,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及京東(09618.HK)各漲6.7%及6.5%,快手(01024.HK)股價亦搶高6.6%收57.1元。 大和發表中國互聯網行業報告指,大部份內地互聯網股公布首季業績表現優於預期,網遊行業顯示籠固表現,在市場波動況下,建議配置近期業務具有較強增長可見度的防禦性股份,該行在行業股份中依次喜歡是騰訊(00700.HK)(予目標價465元)、跟著是網易(NTES.US)、拼多多(PDD.US)、然後是百度(BIDU.US),均予「買入」評級(各予目標價110美元、125美元及215美元)。 【升股千四隻 內房股起舞】 港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為34比9(上日20比18),上升股份1,446隻(升幅近4%),恆指成份股今日73隻股份上升,下跌股份3隻,升跌比率為96比4(上日為30比71);大市今日錄沽空235.43億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,340.23億元的約17.567%(上日為19.642%)。 內房及物管股彈高,中國海外(00688.HK)及華潤置地(01109.HK)全日股價各搶高近8.3%及9.1%,碧桂園(02007.HK)及龍湖(00960.HK)各彈高8.6%及17.2%,而碧桂園服務(06098.HK)抽升近13%收9.49元。 美銀證券發表報告,鑑於近期中國經濟數據疲弱,市場對內地推出刺激措施的預期升溫,相信內房物管股可潛在受惠。此外,基於物管股的經常性業務性質,料可提供更好的下行保護。該行認為,對內房行業更好的刺激措施,或並非直接寬鬆房地產政策,反而提高家庭收入可能持續更為有利,預期內房股或對相關政策作出積極反應。
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