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貝萊德:美國通脹應該會緩解
uSMART盈立智投 04-11 20:16

貝萊德(BLK.US)全球固定收益部門首席投資官Rick Rieder週一表示,美聯儲可能不需要進一步加息來對抗通脹,因爲上個月銀行業動盪的影響和近期一系列就業數據表明美國經濟正在放緩。儘管上週五備受關注的美國勞工部就業報告顯示,上月美國僱主維持強勁的招聘步伐,但薪資增長放緩,且就業增長低於三個月、六個月和12個月的移動平均水平。

Rieder表示,這些數據,加上上週公佈的就業市場數據,以及在上個月兩家美國銀行倒閉後,信貸條件可能會收緊的預期,顯示出經濟正在放緩。

Rieder在一份報告中寫道:"儘管上週五的就業報告顯然不令人擔憂,但讓投資者更清楚地看到經濟狀況明顯放緩將是什麼樣子。據推測,這也將意味着美聯儲在5月會議上可能再加息一次之後,將停止加息政策,不過也有可能美聯儲已經加息了。”

據瞭解,過去一年,美聯儲開啓了數十年來最激進的加息週期之一,以遏制通脹壓力,並預測到2023年底,借貸成本將保持在當前水平附近。

目前,交易員們持更溫和的觀點,並押注政策制定者將在今年晚些時候降息,使美聯儲基金利率從目前的4.75%至5%區間降至4.35%。

此外,投資者將密切關注週三的美國通脹報告,以判斷短期利率走勢。

根據Rieder的說法,通貨膨脹應該會緩解,與上個月看到的經濟放緩一致。他表示:“希望……市場可以期待一個更加寬鬆的美聯儲。”

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