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特斯拉Q1財報即將來襲

花旗分析師Itay Michaeli表示,特斯拉(TSLA.US)最近的降價行動將令市場更加關注這家電動汽車製造商在第一季度的毛利率,因爲這將成爲近期市場情緒的決定因素。特斯拉將於下週一公佈第一季度業績,市場目前普遍預計該公司Q1營收爲234.6億美元,每股收益爲0.86美元。

Itay Michaeli在一份報告中表示,強於預期的結果將表明特斯拉的“成本優勢地位”和潛在的投入成本下降,但如果第一季度的結果與預期持平或低於預期,則意味着產能過剩或產品老化,這將使市場特斯拉2023年的共識預期面臨風險。他進一步補充稱,市場還沒有消化後一種情況,“在當前的宏觀背景下,第一季度的風險/回報不那麼令人信服”。

據悉,特斯拉今年第三次下調美國市場的Model S和Model X的價格,試圖以降價的方式提振市場對其標誌性電動汽車日益低迷的需求。特斯拉CEO馬斯克曾多強調需要追求銷售數量而不是一味追逐利潤率。據瞭解,美國市場降價後的旗艦款Model S轎車現在的起售價爲84,990美元,比上個月的價格降低了5000美元。Model X的起價則爲94,990美元,也下降了5000美元。Model 3和Model Y的價格也分別下調了1000美元和2000美元。

花旗對特斯拉保持“中性”評級。此外,該行認爲,特斯拉的降價對通用汽車(GM.US)和福特汽車(F.US)的影響有限。

Wolfe Research分析師Rod Lache表示,在宣佈降價之前,特斯拉證實,美國消費者在購買Model 3/Y系列的大部分車型時,仍有資格獲得7500美元的美國政府購買補貼。分析師表示,雖然特斯拉在美國的降價可能會引發市場對汽車需求的質疑,但特斯拉“未來將大幅降低成本”。分析師還表示,投資者對特斯拉能源板塊(Tesla Energy)的新投資可能被低估了。該行保持對特斯拉的“與大盤持平”評級,並表示,如果降價消息導致該股股價短期內出現負面反應也不足爲奇。

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