《即日市評》港股反覆升 百度挫半成 內房股強
港股長假後今日(11日)復市,大市受阿里-SW(09988.HK)及金融股帶動反覆上升。市場觀望美國本周中將公布3月份通脹數據,美股道指及納指隔晚(10日)分別升0.3%及跌0.03%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處3.389厘,美匯指數處102.23,道指期貨最新升9點或0.03%,納指期貨最新升0.14%。內地公布3月CPI按年升0.7%(市場原預期升1%)、3月PPI按年跌2.5%符合預期,上證綜指今日跌1點或0.05%收3,313點,深證成指升0.04%,滬深兩市成交額共1.08萬億元人民幣。人行收市後公布中國3月新增人民幣貸款3.89萬億元(市場預期3.3萬億元),3月M2貨幣供應按年升12.7%,3月社會融資規模增量5.38萬億人民幣高預期。
恆指高開235點,初段曾升419點一度高見20,750點,其後曾倒跌37點見20,293點,全日升154點或0.76%,收20,485點;國指升56點或0.82%,收6,950點;恆生科技指數升10點或0.25%,收4,248點。大市全日成交總額1,268.95億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入20.82億及22.43億元人民幣。阿里全日股價升1.6%收99.3元,匯控(00005.HK)及中國平安(02318.HK)股價各漲1.1%及2.2%,而藥明生物(02269.HK)股價升5.6%。
【百度挫半成 商湯反覆跌】
部份AI概念股造淡,百度-SW(09888.HK)股價下滑5.4%,騰訊(00700.HK)跌2.3%,金山軟件(03888.HK)跌4%。國家網信辦為促進生成式人工智能技術健康發展和規範應用,起草了《生成式人工智能服務管理辦法(徵求意見稿)》,現向社會公開徵求意見。意見稿提及,利用生成式人工智能產品向公眾提供服務前,應當按照《具有輿論屬性或社會動員能力的互聯網信息服務安全評估規定》向國家網信部門申報安全評估,並按照《互聯網信息服務算法推薦管理規定》履行算法備案和變更、注銷備案手續。尊重知識產權、商業道德,不得利用算法、數據、平台等優勢實施不公平競爭。
商湯-W(00020.HK)今早股價曾搶高11.1%一度高見3.7元,全日倒跌0.9%收3.3元。中金指,商湯發布日日新大模型。商湯大模型為下游多場景賦能,包括智慧生活、智能汽車、智慧城市、智慧商業四大業務線,帶來多輪推動力。該行維持對商湯盈利預測不變和維持「跑贏行業」評級,考慮到大模型有望帶來遠期多元化變現方式,上調目標價19%至4.3元。
【升股一千隻 內房股抽高】
港股主板市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為25比16(上日為17比22),上升股份1,060隻(升幅3.4%);恆指成份股今日59隻股份上升,下跌股份14隻,升跌比率為78比18(上日為54比39)。大市今日錄沽空168.28億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,107.19億元的約15.2%(上日為14.9%)。
內房股抽高,碧桂園(02007.HK)全日股價抽上14.1%收2.34元。金茂(00817.HK)升19.6%,新城(01030.HK)、合景泰富(01813.HK)及遠洋(03377.HK)升逾一成,萬科(02202.HK)走高7.7%。
中金發表報告指,去年整體內房股的營業收入按年下降14%,盈利跌75%,基本符合市場預期。該行認為,財務壓力相對可控的房企業務雖然受壓,但資產負債表和土儲價值保全較完好,為中長期發展提供根基;而出險房企損益表和現金流則顯著承壓,令資產負債端繼續劇烈收縮,「三條紅線」指標明顯惡化。該行建議投資者積極把握優質標的結構性投資機會,考慮到當前穩定的行業政策基調能對投資者情緒形成支撐,加上地產基本面持續修復、仍存正向預期差,看好內房股未來3至6個月的收益表現。
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