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“末日博士”:全球經濟正面臨“硬着陸”風險
uSMART盈立智投 03-07 20:04

有“末日博士”之稱的經濟學家努裏爾·魯比尼(Nouriel Roubini)週二警告稱,由於各大央行努力控制發達經濟體持續的高通脹,全球經濟正面臨“硬着陸”的風險。

魯比尼在悉尼AFR商業峯會上表示,各大央行將不得不將利率提高到遠高於最初預期的水平,以將通脹降至目標水平。

魯比尼表示:“通脹率將繼續高企,因爲今年大宗商品價格將繼續高企。他補充說,俄烏衝突的惡化等因素將加劇通脹。

魯比尼表示,美國、歐洲和澳大利亞的通脹持續時間比市場和央行預期的要長。由於長期看空全球經濟,魯比尼獲得了“末日博士”的綽號。

澳大利亞未來基金董事長彼得•科斯特洛(Peter Costello)表示,澳洲聯儲需要讓公衆相信,它將貫徹其降低通脹的計劃,並表示美聯儲的言論比當地政策制定者“強硬得多”。

科斯特洛在悉尼AFR峯會上表示:“可能發生的最糟糕的情況是,各大央行宣佈將採取遏制通脹的政策,但卻沒有堅持到底,因爲這樣我們就會在沒有任何好處的情況下加息。”

澳洲聯儲主席菲利普·洛(Philip Lowe)在傳達一致的政策信息能力方面面臨壓力,他在疫情期間曾表示,利率可能會維持在創紀錄低點,直到2024年。

週二,澳洲聯儲如期加息25個基點,將利率上調至3.60%,爲2012年5月以來最高水平,自2022年4月以來已累計加息10次,共加息350個基點。

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