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《即日市評》港股回升 兩會臨近 中資基建股續揚
受科網及中資金融股帶動,港股今日回升。美股道指及納指隔晚各升1%及0.7%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.028厘,美匯指數處104.73,道指期貨最新跌13點或0.04%,納指期貨最新升0.04%。人行指堅持正常貨幣政策不大收大放,今年以通脹保持溫和為主基調。今年全國政協及人大兩會將於3月4日、5日在北京召開,上證綜指升17點或0.54%收3,328點,深證成指升0.02%,滬深兩市成交額共8,695億人民幣。 香港2月標普全球PMI升至53.9創九個月高。恆指今早高開273點,初段曾升297點一度高見20,727點,其後升幅收窄至68點見20,498點,全日升138點或0.7%,收20,567點;國指升82點或1.2%,收6,939點;恆生科技指數升85點或2.1%,收4,211點。大市全日成交總額1,057.83億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入14.58億及24.39億元人民幣。中移動(00941.HK)及聯通(00762.HK)各攀升1.6%及3.1%。 恆指本周累升557點或2.8%、國指本周累升236點或3.5%、恆生科指本周累升200點或5%。市場持續關注美企業績及息口走向,於本周中內地公布2月官方製造業PMI錄52.6(市場原預期為50.6)、中國2月財新製造業PMI錄51.6勝預期,自去年8月來首次升至擴張區間,消息提振市場對中資股前景信心。 【科網股造高 「B站」績後彈】 科網股造好,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價升0.5%,騰訊(00700.HK)升1.3%,美團(03690.HK)及小米(01810.HK)各升0.7%及0.8%,京東(09618.HK)升3.1%。嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)去年第四季經調整淨虧損收窄至13億元人民幣,今日股價升10.3%報168.9元。 大和表示,嗶哩嗶哩管理層宣布今年收入指引介乎240億至260億元人民幣,中位數相等於按年增長14%,較市場共識低6%,但公司管理層指有關預測基於關閉部分低毛利率業務,包括出售英雄聯盟職業聯賽(LPL)播放權,管理層更稱今年目標把非通用會計準則淨虧損進一步削減50%,意味淨虧損率從去年的30%改善至今年的14%。 【升股一千隻 基建股續揚】 港股主板今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為25比15(上日15為比25),上升股份1,080隻(升幅2.7%);恆指成份股今日58隻股份上升,下跌股份18隻,升跌比率為76比24(上日為36比59)。大市今日錄沽空180.92億元,佔可沽空股份成交額億元的%(上日為16.404%)。 中資基建股繼續炒上,中鐵(00390.HK)及中鐵建(01186.HK)股價均上揚近4.9%,中交建(01800.HK)升7.8%,中國建築國際(03311.HK)升4%。鐵路股中車(01766.HK)升6.6%。中資電力股發力,大唐發電(00991.HK)及華電國際(01071.HK)升5.9%及6.2%。 高盛發表報告指,全國兩會將於本周末揭幕,會上將審議通過政府工作報告及財政預算案,當中將提到當局各種經濟目標。該行認為,去年中國未能實現增長目標,當局今年取態可能會更審慎,預計中國今年會將GDP增長目標訂於相對保守的約5%,而該行預測今年全年實際GDP可增長5.5%。 隨著人員流動、消費及房地產開始出現明顯復甦跡象,該行認為市場憧憬今年經濟增速基本步入正軌,因此預期今年內推出的周期性政策整體上刺激作用應較去年少。高盛相信內地政府仍然會採取往常手段,即是在有需要時透過加快基建投資來刺激經濟。至於促進消費措施可能會是汽車及家電稅項補貼、加快租賃住房建設及小範圍發放地方消費券等。
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