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對衝基金大佬對美股持負面看法
uSMART盈立智投 03-02 20:07

綠光資本(Greenlight Capital)的大衛·艾因霍恩週三表示,由於通脹和利率可能飆升,他將保持對美股的負面看法。

艾因霍恩稱:“我認爲我們應該看跌股票,看漲通脹。我認爲我們現在的政策,對美國實體經濟來說可能是相當好的,但對金融資產來說將是很困難的,而且會越來越困難。”

這位明星對衝基金經理認爲,美聯儲可能有更多的工作要做,以應對頑固的價格壓力,可能會將利率提高到比普遍預期更高的水平。美聯儲已將利率提高到4.5%-4.75%的目標範圍,達到2007年10月以來的最高水平。

他表示:“我認爲,長期和短期利率都在走高,而且可能高於人們的預期。”

過去一年,在一系列加息的支持下,美國國債收益率已經飆升。週三,基準的10年期美國國債收益率自去年11月以來首次突破4%。短期利率飆升得更高,6個月期和一年期的美國國債收益率自2007年以來首次突破5%。

艾因霍恩稱:“美聯儲確實希望股價下跌。他們已經明確表達了這一點。我認爲,如果他們對股市的任何走向都不那麼關心,那就更好了。”

他的綠光資本剛剛在2022年取得了36.6%的回報率,是表現“特別好的一年”,這在一定程度歸功於他在一系列創新科技股中的空頭頭寸,比如那些被“木頭姐”凱西·伍德吹捧的成長型股票。

在最近給投資者的一封信中,艾因霍恩寫道,從許多方面來看,2022年都是他有史以來表現最好的一年,這段時期最能與2001年相提並論,那是上一次科技泡沫破裂後的一年。他還透露,他仍然在做空一些充斥着“泡沫”的股票。

這位廣受關注的對衝基金經理表示,他的對衝基金中淨多頭的數量相對較少,而且他堅信自己投資組合中的價值選擇。

艾因霍恩稱:“我對整個市場的走勢持相當保守的看法,但我對我的多頭投資組合中的一些頭寸感到非常興奮,因爲它們的價格低得離譜,而回報率高得驚人。”

在2022年底,綠光資本最大的多頭頭寸包括Green Brick Partners(GRBK.US)、Brighthouse Financial(BHF.US)和Consol Energy(CEIX.US)。他此前曾表示,綠光資本在2022年的重要贏家包括阿特拉斯環球航空(AAWW.US)、Consol Energy、泰克資源(TECK.US)和推特。

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