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美聯儲或將上調利率水平至近6%
uSMART盈立智投 03-01 20:17

美國銀行全球研究部表示,美聯儲可能將利率上調至近6%,高於交易員上年9月份5.4%的預期利率峯值,主要由於美國消費者市場需求和勞動力市場的緊張將迫使美聯儲將在更長的時間加息與通脹作鬥爭。

美國銀行表示,“消費者市場的總需求需要出現顯著的減弱,通脹才能回到美聯儲的目標。供應鏈進一步正常化和勞動力市場放緩將一定程度上對緩解現通脹有所幫助,但這個過程實現花費的時間比我們和市場預期的都要要長。”

繼上年3月和5月採取類似舉措後,美銀現對貨幣的利率的走勢押注仍持鷹派立場,其最近增加了對美聯儲6月再次加息25個基點的預期,最高利率預計將達5.25%-5.5%。美銀預計美國經濟將在2023年第三季度陷入衰退。

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