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《即日市評》恆指「六連跌」累跌千點 中資電訊股今逆市揚
受阿里-SW(09988.HK)及京東(09618.HK)等科網股拖累,恆指今日(28日)先升後回,兩萬關得而復失。投資者關注美國通脹及聯儲局息口政策前景,大摩將聯儲局首次減息時間推遲至明年3月,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.2%及0.6%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.951厘,美匯指數跌至104.68,道指期貨最新跌64點或0.2%,納指期貨最新跌0.23%。上證綜指升21點或0.66%收3,279點,深證成指升0.7%,滬深兩市成交額共7,568億人民幣。 恆指高開76點,早段曾升241點一度高見20,185點,其後由升轉跌,並以接近全日低位收市,全日跌157點或0.79%,收19,785點,連跌六個交易日(累跌1,101點或5.3%);國指全日跌88點或1.33%,收6,581點;恆生科技指數跌64點或1.62%,收3,925點。大市全日成交總額1,424.73億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出13.58億及淨流入3.93億元人民幣。香港寬頻(01310.HK)下午3時36分起停牌,該股曾漲近13%高見5.66元,停牌前報5.59元,升11.6%,市傳收到環域電訊逾十億美元估值收購要約。 恆指2月累跌2,056點或9.4%,國指2月累跌843點或11.3%,恆生科指2月累跌617點或13.6%。市場關注地緣政治局勢緊張、美國通脹仍高企及美聯儲局未來加息路徑。 【科網股造淡 阿里巴巴弱】 科網股普遍走弱,騰訊(00700.HK)股價跌近1.7%,快手-W(01024.HK)走低3.1%,嗶哩嗶哩-W(09626.HK)股價下滑4.6%。瑞銀指,國家廣電總局召開的會議研究和落實加強短視頻和相關未成年人保護監管的措施,防止未成年人沉迷。該行參考網絡遊戲的未成年人保護規定,預期新的網絡視頻平台未成年人保護措施,可能包括實名認證、每日/每周觀看時間上限、面部識別以驗證用戶身份等。不過,若需嚴格執行有關模式,瑞銀認為可能會導致廣告流失,而該行估計嗶哩嗶哩的年輕用戶佔比較多。 阿里-SW股價跌3.2%,京東走低2.4%。標普發表報告,預期阿里巴巴截至2023年3月31日止第四財季表現可能持續疲弱,按季比較略有改善,隨著商家經營情況到農曆新年後反彈,預期集團核心客戶管理收入(CMR)可在未來三至四個季度內實現更快速增長,預期阿里盈利能力及現金流仍然穩健,收入可錄得中單位數百分比增幅。 【沽空率下降 聯通升半成】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比23(上日為12比28);恆指成份股今日15隻股份上升,下跌股份58隻,升跌比率為20比76(上日為29比68)。大市今日錄沽空193.92億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,259.23億元的15.4%(上日為22.843%)。 中資電訊股逆市有支持,中移動(00941.HK)及中電信(00728.HK)股價均漲2.6%,聯通(00762.HK)股價走高5.3%收5.72元。摩根士丹利發表技術意見報告,預期聯通的股價在未來60日內有超過80%機率會上升,預期公司去年第四季業績將表現穩固,服務收入料按年增長8.1%,去年全年純利料增長14.2%。 大摩預測聯通2023年股息按年增長16%,股息回報可達6厘,加上市盈率水平具吸引力,給予「增持」評級,目標價7元。
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