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《即日市評》人幣走弱 恆指「四連跌」 阿里網易績後挫
受科網及金融股拖累,恆指今日持續向下及守於兩萬關。美國去年第四季經濟增長終值,以年率計按季向下修訂至增長2.7%低於市場預期,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.3%及0.7%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.895厘,美匯指數升至104.61,道指期貨最新跌43點或0.13%,納指期貨最新跌0.5%。人民幣即期收市大跌524點收報6.9442兌一美元,上證綜指跌20點或0.62%收3,267點,深證成指跌0.8%,滬深兩市成交額共7,258億人民幣。 恆指低開127點,其後跌幅曾擴大至344點一度低見20,006點,全日跌341點或1.6%,收20,010點,連跌四日(累跌876點或4.2%);國指全日跌156點或2.3%,收6,703點;恆生科技指數跌138點或3.3%,收4,010點。大市全日成交總額1,163.13億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入42.85億及46.87億元人民幣。 恆生指數服務公司今日收市後將公布季檢結果,中金早前料快手-W(01024.HK)、京東健康(06618.HK)、理想汽車-W(02015.HK)、京東物流(02618.HK)、思摩爾國際(06969.HK)、商湯-W(00020.HK)等有可能成為納入「藍籌」行列的潛在股份,商湯今日股價逆市揚近4.6%。 恆指本周累跌709點或3.4%、國指本周累跌287點或4.1%、恆生科指本周累跌246點或5.8%。市場關注地緣政治局勢緊張及美聯儲局未來加息路徑,而美聯儲局會議紀錄顯示,公開市場委員會內大多數委員支持放慢加息步伐,但重申高通脹風險仍是影響政策因素,有需要繼續將利率調高。 【科網股造淡 阿里挫半成】 科網股造淡,騰訊(00700.HK)及美團(03690.HK)今日股價各下滑1.9%及3.4%,百度(09888.HK)及京東(09618.HK)股價分別走低6%及4.8%。阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價跌5.4%收90.05元。中金發表報告指阿里競爭對手的補貼行為或短期對行業格局產生擾動,且消費復甦進展有待觀察,預計2023財年第四季的客戶管理收入按年下滑5%。不過,長遠電商競爭力是商業機制、技術和用戶體驗的綜合,集團在電商生態、技術實力和用戶體驗上具備領先優勢,續相信集團的核心電商業務將受惠於宏觀和消費大盤持續復甦,惟完全修復需時。 網易(09999.HK)全日股價挫11.2%收123.5元。摩根士丹利指,料網易今年首季遊戲收入增長或見不到大幅上升,主要受與動視暴雪協議終止及去年第四季差於預期的遞延收入影響,《蛋仔派對》流水動力亦自農曆新年後轉弱。該行指網易去年經營溢利因一次性項目遜預期,縱使今年首季業績較早前預期疲軟,但收入增長能見度在遊戲版號審批恢復下顯著改善,意味下行風險有限及強勁的遊戲供應,對網易仍持樂觀看法。 【跌股千二隻 創科呈反彈】 港股主板今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為10比30(上日為18比20),下跌股份1,289隻(跌幅2.6%);恆指成份股今日16隻股份上升,下跌股份58隻,升跌比率為21比76(上日為42比53)。大市今日錄沽空203.07億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,018億元的19.95%(上日為16.171%)。 創科(00669.HK)全日股價回升4.4%收78.25元。創科強烈否認沽空機構Jehoshaphat Research的指控,公司將於適當時候另行發表公告,澄清及處理有關之指控。 里昂發表報告表示,對於沽空機構Jehoshaphat Research昨狙擊創科指控其誇大盈利及涉嫌隱藏開支,又料創科股價會出現60%至80%下跌空間等,認為上述指控屬誤導,該行維持對其「買入」評級。
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