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《即日市評》恆指再跌 阿里京東弱 匯控彈逾5%
受阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等科網股拖累,港股今日持續向下。市場關注地緣政治局勢緊張及美聯儲局未來加息路徑,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌近2.1%及2.5%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.949厘,美匯指數升至104.24,道指期貨最新跌22點或0.07%,納指期貨最新跌0.07%。人民幣即期跌219點收報6.8953兌一美元,上證綜指跌15點或0.47%收3,291點,深證成指跌0.57%,滬深兩市成交額共7,833.5億人民幣。 恆指低開17點,早段曾跌184點一度低見20,344點,其後曾倒升91點一度高見20,620點,中午再度回落,全日跌105點或0.51%,收20,423點;國指跌92點或1.3%,收6,832點;恆生科技指數跌57點或1.38%,收4,100點,大市全日成交總額1,146.07億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入12.05億及15.04億元人民幣。騰訊(00700.HK)股價走低1.6%。 財政司司長陳茂波公布《財政預算案》,將再向合資格市民發放電子消費券金額為5,000元,寬減薪俸稅和個人入息課稅、以及寬減2023/24年度首兩季差餉。而九龍倉置業(01997.HK)升近2%,周大福(01929.HK)漲2.2%。 【憂競爭加劇 阿里京東弱】 市場關注內地電商競爭加劇,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價跌2.4%收92.95元,京東(09618.HK)下滑3%,快手(01024.HK)走低2.5%。摩根大通指,內地電商股價對京東將推出「100億元人民幣補貼」計劃的消息反應過度,因為一些投資者可能會錯誤解讀該計劃,即認為京東會投資100億元人民幣來補貼消費者。惟該行相信,補貼可能會由京東、品牌和商家三方共同承擔,從而部分減輕對其損益表的財務影響。 不過,摩通認為,該舉措表明京東今年將以降低利潤率為代價,更關注收入增長。因此,京東利潤率以及中國電子商務行業盈利前景的不確定性在較小程度上確實會上升。 【跌股千二隻 匯控股價彈】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比28(上日15為比25),下跌股份1,210隻(跌幅2.2%);恆指成份股今日16隻股份上升,下跌股份57隻,升跌比率為21比75(上日為36比59)。大市今日錄沽空187.92億元,佔可沽空股份成交額978.21億元的19.21%(上日為16.404%)。 銀行股造好,中銀香港(02388.HK)及恆生(00011.HK)股價各上揚2%及2.7%,匯控(00005.HK)股價彈高5.3%收60.65元。中金指匯控去年度業績符合預期,考慮到匯控過去三年在戰略轉型及成本控制方面取得成效,加上有利的利率環境,重申看好該行的結構性盈利提升與估值修復前景。由於到預計營收增長較預期,加上資產質量前景改善,中金將匯控2023至2024年盈利預測上調5.4%及3.6%。 花旗表示,匯控行政總裁及財務總監於分析員會議提供令人具信心的訊息,特別是收入、資產質素及資本回報方面,財務總監重點集中於增長和回報、提高效率、成本和資本紀律,管理層亦更詳細地解釋IFRS 17和交易賬簿融資成本的影響,該行指此或可能意味著現在市場或調升對其中單個位數盈利預測,而不是該行最初擔心市場會小幅下調盈測。
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