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《即日市評》港股回升 阿里、內險及煤股有支持
美聯儲局主席鮑威爾指在抗擊通脹的時候,局方須保持政策中立性,港股今日回升。投資者等待美國本周稍後公布去年12月通脹數據,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.6%及1%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處3.572厘,美匯指數升至103.3,道指期貨最新微升2點,納指期貨最新跌0.3%。上證綜指全日跌7點或0.24%收3,161點,深證成指跌近0.6%,滬深兩市成交額7,419億人民幣。 恆指高開132點後升幅擴大,曾升354點一度高見21,686點,尾市升幅收窄,曾倒跌4點見21,327點,全日升104點或0.5%,收21,436點;國指升47點或0.7%,收7,310點;恆生科技指數倒跌11點或0.3%,收4,547點。大市全日成交總額1,658.47億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入7.25億及23億元人民幣。 部份內需股受壓,海底撈(06862.HK)、頤海國際(01579.HK)及百威亞太(01876.HK)股價各下滑5.8%、8.5%及3.6%。 【內需股受壓 阿里有支持】 部份科網股有支持,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價均上揚3.1%。Sensor Tower商店情報數據顯示,去年12月騰訊的《王者榮耀》在全球App Store和Google Play吸金近2億美元,蟬聯全球手遊暢銷榜冠軍。來自中國iOS市場的收入佔94.4%,海外市場收入佔比為5.6%。 麥格理表示,將阿里巴巴納入買入名單,重申「跑贏大市」評級,目標價由134.6元上調至161.6元。縱使競爭環境仍然劇烈,但預期阿里巴巴相對電商同業的按季增長將追上,受惠業務組合轉變及宏觀復甦。該行亦相信阿里巴巴增長落後同業的差距縮窄,有助重設市場對阿里巴巴2023財年及2024財年的盈測。 【沽空率上升 煤炭股抽高】 港股今日市寬變動不大,主板股票的升跌比率為20比22(上日18為比22);恆指成份股今日33隻股份上升,下跌股份53隻,升跌比率為43比53(上日為43比46);大市今日錄沽空255.7億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,504.65億元的16.994%(上日為16.378%)。 內險股造好,中國平安(02318.HK)及國壽(02628.HK)股價各升3.5%及3.9%,中國太保(02601.HK)股價彈高近7.6%。華泰證券近日發表報告表示,展望2023年,該行認為大部分內地壽險公司新業務價值有望實現正增長,利率環境相對穩定,權益市場向好將有力支撐壽險股估值修復。 煤股抽升,兗礦能源(01171.HK)股價彈近9%,神華(01088.HK)股價上揚4.7%。摩根士丹利發表報告,引述神華(01088.HK)管理層指出神華管理層考慮到今年推出的更完善政策,預計今年長期合同銷售的整體履約率將小幅上升。神華及其母公司正全力履行長期合同銷售,以確保國內煤炭供應。鑑於上述市場前景,管理層對今年的合同價格持中性至略微積極的看法。
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