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恆生科指升穿4200點!廣發首席:牛市機會來臨,關注這些方向
恆生科指升穿4200點!廣發首席:牛市機會來臨,關注這些方向
華盛資訊12月22日消息,港股再度強勢拉昇,截至發稿,恆生科技指數漲幅擴大至5%,成分股中,小鵬汽車漲12.74%,嗶哩嗶哩漲超11%,萬國數據漲超10%,快手-W漲7.53%,京東、美團-W漲超6%,騰訊控股、阿裏巴巴-SW跟漲;恆指現漲2.82%,海底撈升7.11%領漲藍籌。
多部門齊發聲!平臺經濟、房地產、互聯互通迎利好
消息面上,中國證監會黨委書記、主席易會滿主持召開黨委會議。會議強調,擴大資本市場高水平制度型開放。推動滬深港通互聯互通擴大標的、優化交易日曆落地。推動形成中美審計監管常態化合作機制,營造更加穩定、可預期的國際監管合作環境。推動企業境外上市制度改革落地實施,加快平臺企業境外上市“綠燈”案例落地。深化內地與香港資本市場務實合作,支持香港鞏固國際金融中心地位。
此外,12月20日,國務院常務會議上部署深入抓好穩經濟一攬子政策措施落地見效,推動經濟鞏固回穩基礎、保持運行在合理區間,並再度強調支持平臺經濟健康持續發展。
相關閱讀:證監會最新發聲,關於房地產、中美審計監管合作、滬深港通…要點速覽
首席看多!港股迎戰略性機遇,牛市看好這些方向機會
值得注意的是,日前廣發證券首席策略分析師戴康,12月20日也圍繞港股市場2023年的佈局,分享他的最新觀點,要點如下:
- 1、港股今年的核心觀察要素主要是兩個:第一,國內穩增長預期要重新統一,對應了基本面預期的改善;第二,美債利率的上行要得到緩解,對應的是美聯儲的邊際寬鬆。
- 2、從指數層面來講,港股已經漲了一大波,未來一年恆生指數的預期收益率在20~25%,而 A股10%+的預期收益率。港股的表現仍然要優於美股和A股。
- 3、現在港股處於牛市第一、二階段之間的“徘徊期”,第二階段的信號沒有出來。
- 第二階段要等中國目前新冠病例第一波上升之後,全社會生產和生活趨於穩定,並且使得經濟信用低位回暖可期。
- 4、建議配置港股“三支箭”,以穩增長加疫情修復爲主線,其次是美債利率築頂下行受益的線索,這兩者共同敏感的交集板塊,就是這一輪港股熊市的三大重災區。互聯網、醫藥、地產,這些行業的彈性會最大。
- 5、從去年到這一輪,外資一直在流出港股,包括對國內反壟斷監管、去年底美聯儲開始的緊縮週期、今年俄烏衝突帶來的金融去全球化的擔心。
- 現在我們反而認爲外資會回補。
- 6、短期漲幅已經比較大之後,建議大家可以採取攻守兼備的配置策略,圍繞着“三支箭”去配置業績上調和高股息策略。
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