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《即日市評》內地經濟數據遜 科網及消費股弱 阿里挫4%
美聯儲局主席鮑威爾在議息後「放鷹」指續加息直至通脹降2%目標水平是合適,加上內地公布上月多項經濟數據均遜預期,港股今日(15日)向下。美加息半厘,利率點陣圖顯示利率預期中值將升至5.1厘,鮑威爾強調在任何情況下都會將通脹目標保持在2%,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.4%及0.8%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.492厘,美匯指數跌至104.19,道指期貨最新跌200點或0.58%,納指期貨最新跌1%。 內地11月規模以上工業增加值按年實際增2.2%、11月社會消費品零售總額按年跌5.9%,上證綜指全日跌7點或0.25%收3,168點,深證成指升0.32%,內地創業板指數升1.3%,滬深兩市成交額7,662億元人民幣。 恆指今早低開60點後跌幅擴大,曾跌439點一度低見19,233點,全日跌304點或1.55%,收19,368點;國指跌110點或1.7%,收6,591點;恆生科技指數跌101點或2.4%,收4,136點。大市全日成交總額降至1,056.18億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入18.68億及20.41億元人民幣。科網股受壓,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里-SW(09988.HK)股價各跌近2.3%及4%,美團-W(03690.HK)走低3.3%。 【美加息半厘 科網股造淡】 匯控(00005.HK)全日股價走低1.8%收47.2元,恆生(00011.HK)股價跌近0.4%,而中銀香港(02388.HK)走低1.3%。本地地產股普遍偏軟,新地(00016.HK)、新世界發展(00017.HK)股價各跌近0.5%及1.1%。 香港匯豐銀行中午宣布,由明日(16日)起,上調港元最優惠利率25點子,由年利率5.375%調高至5.625%。同時,匯豐給予港元儲蓄存款戶口的利率亦調高25點子。此外,中銀香港自12月19日(下周一)起,港元最優惠利率由年利率5.375厘調整至5.625厘;港元活期儲蓄存款利率由年利率0.375厘調整至0.625厘。 【跌股千二隻 消費股造淡】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比28(上日為21比19),下跌股份1,207隻(跌幅近2.8%);恆指成份股今日14隻股份上升,下跌股份61隻,升跌比率為18比80(上日為54比41);大市今日錄沽空138.64億元,佔可沽空股份成交額900.17億元的15.402%(上日為14.834%)。 內需及消費股造淡,申洲(02313.HK)收跌4.7%,貓眼娛樂(01896.HK)及頤海(01579.HK)各跌5.7%及5.4%,農夫山泉(09633.HK)收跌3.5%。國家統計局公布,11月份社會消費品零售總額3.86萬億元人民幣按年下降5.9%。其中,除汽車以外的消費品零售額3.48萬億人民幣,下降6.1%。 此外,國務院近日印發《擴大內需戰略規劃綱要(2022-2035年)》。按照全面建設社會主義現代化國家的戰略安排,展望2035年,實施擴大內需戰略的遠景目標為消費和投資規模再上新台階,完整內需體系全面建立;新型工業化、信息化、城鎮化、農業現代化基本實現,強大內地市場建設取得更大成就,關鍵核心技術實現重大突破,以創新驅動、內需拉動的內地大循環更加高效暢通。展望未來一段時期,內地市場主導國民經濟循環特徵會更加明顯,必須堅定實施擴大內需戰略,充分發揮內需拉動作用,建設更加強大的內地市場。
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