技術大牛 | 做多離岸人民幣
作者:安德魯,下單時間:2022,12,02
本文核心:
做多離岸人民幣(Short USDCNH),Short點位:¥7.0398,第一目標止盈:¥6.971,止損位置:¥7.125。對應場內標的:CYB、UDN。
實盤展示:

首先解釋下爲啥做多離岸人民幣操作手法上是Short USDCNH,很好理解這是美元兌換離岸人民幣的實時匯率,下跌的越多,更換同等的美元需要的人民幣就越少。當你開一個USDCNH的空頭的時候,也就是表面你押注離岸人民幣會持續升值。
陰謀論:
首先第一點當然是美元指數的持續下跌,所有新興市場貨幣都出現大幅反彈;其次隨着新版的防疫政策的出臺,和廣州表現出的積極態度,離岸人民幣的升值似乎還可以持續。
技術分析:

首先還是那句老話,均線之上只做多,均線以下只做空,近期CNH的價格一直在均線之下,所以基本都是Short的決策。
第二個主確認指標(如圖所示)也支持Short的看法,至於指標的名稱和背後的算法這裏就不詳細解釋了,各位老闆看個熱鬧就行。
第三,本次進場是持續性指標(圖中沒展示)給出的做空信號。
場內標的:
直接對標的產品有人民幣ETF,CYB或者做空美元UDN。
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