《瑞銀窩輪》恆指偏軟險守18000點關口 留意週五新上市恆指牛證(60881)
週四港股幾乎平開平走,險守18000點關口,恆指跌210.82點,收報18045點,大市成交金額1525億港元,全日波幅約509點,暫時守在50天線之上。瑞銀資料顯示資金一面倒流入牛證,反映投資者認為18000點有支持,並留意到有重倉現處於較遠大概16500點收回價位置。如投資者希望選擇較遠收回距離的牛證,看好恆指可留意週五新上市恆指牛證(60881),收回價17000點,23年12月到期,用週四收市價計算有效槓桿推斷約13倍。進取一點,可留意收回距離較近恆指牛證(60544),收回價17400點,23年12月到期,有效槓桿約21倍。
週三騰訊(00700)出業績後宣佈大手「10送1」派美團(03690)後,美團隨即跌5.7%,曾一度跌破150港元,但見一跌破便有支持,輕鬆重上此關口。另外,績後騰訊高開低走,根據瑞銀資金流顯示,投資者似乎睇淡為主,連續兩日資金流入騰訊淡倉較多。觀察所見,騰訊認股證引伸波幅稍有回調,如投資者看淡騰訊,可留意騰訊認沽(28233),行使價214.8港元,23年4月到期,有效槓桿約5.1倍。如投資者看淡美團,可留意美團認沽(27337),行使價118.18港元,23年4月到期,有效槓桿約2.8倍。如想完全避免引伸波幅的影響,投資者則可用熊證部署,可留意騰訊熊證(68892),收回價320.4港元,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。 如投資者看淡美團,可留意美團熊證(52899),收回價175港元,23年11月到期,有效槓桿約6.6倍。
另一業績股阿里(09988)週四晚公佈業績,根據市場分析,阿里上季營收或受大環境經濟放緩以及消費意欲遞減而受壓,但長遠仍有望盈利有所增長。近日阿里股價自上週五開始股價反彈逾12%,重上70港元水平,本週二股價再漲升11%,最新阿里股價微跌0.7%,收報78.25港元,暫時仍受制於80港元。由於業績過後相關認股證產品的引伸波幅或有較大的變化,如投資者希望避開免受引伸波幅變化所影響,可以牛熊證作部署。如投資者希望作阿里的績後部署,看好阿里可留意阿里牛證(59530),收回價64港元,行使價62.5港元,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約4.5倍。如投資者看淡阿里,可留意阿里熊證(50456),收回價85港元,行使價87港元,23年12月到期,有效槓桿約9.6倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
輪證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
瑞銀認股證牛熊證團隊
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市檔。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2022。版權所有。~
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