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植耀輝:美股續升 本週焦點科技股季績
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上週五(11日)延續升勢,當中科技股繼續有好表現,納指升幅便達到1.9%,道指及標普500指數亦能保持升勢。全周計,道指上升4.15%,標普累升5.9%,至於納指累升更達到8.1%,爲3月中旬以來表現最佳一週。 港股上週維持理想表現,受美國10月CPI意外低於預期之消息刺激,恆指上週五大升超過1244點,不僅令恆指全周累升超過1,164點或7.2%,亦是連續第二個星期上升,11月累計升幅更達到18%。多隻成份股升幅顯着,當中尤以內房股表現最佳,碧桂園(02007.HK)一週累升達到76.4%,相當誇張。事實上,上週多達19只成份股升幅超過一成,而比亞迪(01211.HK)爲唯一下跌藍籌,惟跌幅亦不足2%。 本週仍有多個重要因素要留意,中美元首今日將於印尼會面,另外騰訊(00700.HK)、阿裏-SW(09988.HK)及京東-SW(09618.HK)等亦會公佈季績,相關事項對後市均有舉足輕重影響。由於恆指短期累升不少,故不排除會有所回調,另外亦要留意美匯指數會否出現反彈,但以恆指現時走勢來看,只要守穩16,000點水平,形勢上仍不差,短期內有望進一收復年內失地,上方反彈目標暫看18,000點水平。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份) ********* 關注中美領導人會晤以及科網股業績 耀才研究部稱,美匯連續兩日累跌3.8%,創2009年以來最大的兩連跌,支持美股上週五繼續反彈。美國11月密西根大學消費信心指數由前一個月的59.9降至54.7,遜預期,美國10年期國債於3.8釐水準上落,支持納指升近2%。金龍中國指數抽升6.6%,市場對內地經濟復甦有憧憬,各地根據最新出臺的優化防控二十條措施迅速調整防疫措施,炒通關過後,焦點板塊將會爲內房、濠賭以及航空股等對人民幣走勢敏感的板塊。 不過內房上週升幅過大,加上債務問題透明度不高,航空股較有優勢,基於燃油成本回落、預期運力持續復甦、以及股價升幅落後。另一方面,中美領導人今日(14日)於印尼峇裏會晤至少兩小時,加上騰訊(00700.HK)及阿裏-SW(09988.HK)等重磅股本週公佈業績,同樣值得關注 至於技術走勢方面,恆指上週升穿主要阻力50天線,RSI配合達到58的月內高位,下一步有條件修復10月初的下跌裂口,上望17,958點,指數的即市支持將位於11月7日至9日的高位16,700點。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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