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9月27日期貨市場盤前必讀——宏觀篇
uSMART盈立智投 09-27 10:06

9月27日uSMART期貨盤前必讀:

1. 經合組織將2023年全球經濟增長預期下調至2.2%,此前爲2.8%;將2023年美國經濟增長預期下調至0.5%,此前預期爲1.2%;將2023年歐元區經濟增長預期下調至0.3%,此前爲1.6%。

2. 世界銀行:2023年東亞和太平洋地區經濟將增長4.6%。

3. 中國國家統計局:8月末,規模以上工業企業資產總計150.99萬億元,同比增長9.6%;負債合計85.76萬億元,增長10.0%;所有者權益合計65.23萬億元,增長9.2%;資產負債率爲56.8%,同比提高0.2個百分點。

4. 中國央行今日開展7天期1130億元和14天期620億元逆回購操作,因今日有20億元逆回購到期,當日實現淨投放1730億元。

5. 當地時間9月26日,前白宮經濟顧問史蒂夫·摩爾在接受採訪時表示,隨着美聯儲大幅加息,世界經濟衰退風險大增,美國經濟面臨着巨大的問題,同時很難找到解決辦法。摩爾表示,美聯儲和美國政府去年有關通脹的認識大錯特錯。他們當時說通脹是暫時的,然而事實卻是,通脹已經根深蒂固。摩爾認爲,美國政府魯莽地向市場注入萬億美元規模的流動性,是造成通脹的罪魁禍首

6. 總結來看,油價近期盤中波動節奏與美元高度聯動,短線受美元壓制較爲明顯。隨着OPEC增產步伐大幅放緩,後期能提供穩定增量的供應端較不確定,即仍難以擺脫低庫存且庫存拐點暫不明朗的階段,暫不支持趨勢性看空,隨着美元漲勢放緩,預計油價有望迎來上漲波段。

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