《大行報告》大和料恆指於18,500點有穩固支持 建議保持耐性及等待末季機會
大和發表中國資本市場報告,從價值驅動的資產配置角度來看,認為恆指的吸引力越來越大,但同時亦料短期內不太可能逆轉,因強勢的美元、地緣政治風險較高及中國企業疲弱基本面,該行決定上調非必需消費品行業評級由「中性」升至「增持」。
該行估計,參考過去趨勢判斷,料恆指可能於18,500點水平獲得穩固支撐。該行建議投資者保持耐心等待業務復甦,料恆指會比滬深300指數更能反映中國的營商環境,恆指的價格變化與中國製造業採購經理人指數的相關性更強。
鑑於恆指的下行風險有限,建議投資者保持耐心,最早在2022年第四季度關注中國經濟加速復甦的機會。大和亦列出港股最新首選股名單,在本港上市的股份包括阿里巴巴-SW(09988.HK)、首都機場(00694.HK)、美團-W(03690.HK)、大唐新能源(01798.HK)及金沙中國(01928.HK)。
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