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《即日市評》阿里領航大市 基建類股份上揚
市場觀望美國今晚公布新增非農職位數據,港股今日反覆造好。聯儲局兩名鷹派官員表示,將支持本月稍後再加息0.75厘,但之後加息步伐將會放緩,美股道指及納指各升1.1%及2.3%;日本前首相安倍晉三在奈良發表街頭演講期間遭到槍擊受傷。執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.982厘,美匯指數攀升至107.52,美股道指期貨最新跌117點或0.36%,納指期貨最新跌0.5%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數微跌至102.2,人民幣即期收升22點報6.7051兌一美元,上證綜指今日跌8點或0.25%收3,356點,深證成指跌0.6%,滬深兩市成交額共1.03萬億人民幣。 恆指今早高開318點後升幅收窄,午後曾倒跌28點一度低見21,614點,全日升82點或0.38%,收21,725點;國指升12點或0.17%,收7,551點;恆生科技指數升28點或0.59%,收4,808點。大市全日成交總額1,058.54億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入6.05億及12.41億元人民幣。 恆指本周累134跌點或0.6%、國指本周累跌115點或1.5%、恆生科指本周累跌61點或1.3%。市場繼續關注美國經濟衰退風險,美國前財長薩默斯指美今年衰退風險顯著增加,但通脹壓力將降,而摩根士丹利發表亞洲區策略報告指,該行預計投資者的注意力將進一步從「通脹和利率風險」轉向「衰退風險」和「股息風險」。 【阿里巴巴揚 獲大行唱好】 阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價表現優於同業,抽高近3.7%收121元。瑞銀表報告表示,基於阿里巴巴長期毛利率預期略趨正面及更佳的成本控制,重申對其「買入」評級,目標價上調至137元(此前為128元)。 瑞銀指,最近與阿里巴巴在非交易路演溝通後,有信心阿里旗下大多數投資領域虧損將在今年收窄,但認為投資者對未來盈利增長加速的預期並不高。此外,若內地監管機構批准螞集團的重組,料對阿里的投資情緒將有所改善,但投資者需要有耐心,因認為收入的改善將落後於GMV(商品交易總額)。 【市寬呈改善 基建股走高】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票升跌比率為22比16(上日為19比19);恆指成份股今日43隻股份上升,下跌股份22隻,升跌比率為62比32(上日為65比32)。大市今日錄沽空181.62億元,佔可沽空股份成交額895.62億元的20.279%(上日為17.51%)。 基建股揚,中鐵(00390.HK)升2.7%,中國建築(03311.HK)走高近3.5%。部份原材料股受捧,中鋁(02600.HK)及華潤水泥(01313.HK)全日股價漲2.7%及3.4%,洛鉬(03993.HK)股價走高近4.8%。市場憧憬當局或考慮提前下達明年部分地方專項債限額,摩根士丹利發表報告指,配額提前下達符合該行預測,預計今年基礎設施固定資產投資增長可能強勁反彈9%至10%,2020至2021年間為1.8%,將支持下半年的逐步增長復甦,在更多刺激措施下利好原材料板塊。 大摩預計鋼鐵、水泥、鋁等對中國基礎設施投資敞口較大的細分市場,將在此消息中相對跑贏其他行業。
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