《瑞銀窩輪》阿里、百度業績部署 兩手準備阿里認購12165、百度牛證50231
港股周四全日上落不大,恆指徘徊於19900-20250點水平之間,最終全日只下跌55點,收報20116點。
阿里(9988)於周四收市後放榜,惟本文截稿之時阿里仍然未公佈其業績,市場普遍預料阿里的收入會繼續受疫情、監管、經濟放緩,以及業務方面的成本增加等因素所影響;而阿里近日表現亦一直走弱,阿里股價最新下跌1.5%,收報81.1港元,暫時經已連跌四天,距離三月中旬時的歷史新低71港元只有約10港元之差,為ATM中表現最為落後的科技股。由於阿里股價有所下跌,留意到近日較多投資者部署阿里的相關好倉趁機撈底,加上業績公佈,如投資者看好阿里,可留意阿里認購12165,行使價98.93港元,22年9月到期,有效槓桿約5.1倍;如希望以牛證作部署的投資者,看好阿里可留意阿里牛證67685,收回價75港元,行使價73港元,23年1月到期,有效槓桿約9.4倍。如投資者認為阿里業績或遜預期,或會拖累阿里股價繼續向下,看淡阿里可留意阿里認沽12918,行使價65.88港元,22年9月到期,有效槓桿約3.4倍;如希望以熊證作部署的投資者,亦可留意阿里熊證54564,收回價90港元,行使價92港元,23年2月到期,有效槓桿約7倍。
至於同樣於周四公佈業績的百度(9888),其本年度首季收入達284.1億元人民幣,較預期的278.6億元人民幣為好,按年亦增長1%;經調整利潤則達38.8億元人民幣,按年有約10%的跌幅,但仍然較預期為好,業績勝預期。百度自上市以來,股價一直向下,高峰時期曾高見接近200港元水平,截至三月中旬時股價大幅蒸發一半,低見100港元;最新周四百度微升0.2%,收報115.7港元,亦即相隔近兩個多月的時間,百度的升幅只有約15%。如希望作百度部署的投資者,由於百度的相關認股證引伸波幅較高,現時的百度認股證產品選擇都屬於較價外,建議以能夠提供較高槓桿的牛熊證作部署。如投資者認為百度業績可以刺激其股價,看好可留意百度的牛證50231,收回價103.8港元,行使價101.8港元,23年5月到期,有效槓桿約6.8倍。
另外,加息股匯豐(0005)近日股價亦走強,尤其是大市向下之際,匯豐股價仍然企穩甚至有顯著的升幅。匯豐周四股價最新上升0.5%,收報51.2港元。如投資者看好匯豐股價可以乘勢而上,可留意匯豐認購29264,行使價60.05港元,22年10月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。如希望以牛熊證作部署的投資者,看好可以牛證50287,收回價46港元,行使價45港元,22年11月到期,有效槓桿約8.5倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
輪證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
謝宛彤
副董事
瑞銀亞洲股票衍生產品銷售部
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市檔。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2022。版權所有。~
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