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A股收評:滬指重挫逾5%失守3000點,兩市超4600股下跌,資源股全線走低

4月25日,A股三大指數集體收跌。截至收盤,滬指跌5.13%報2928點,進入技術性熊市,深成指跌6%,創業板指跌5.5%。兩市恐慌情緒急劇上升,151股上漲,4621股下跌,跌幅在9%以上個股1890只,683股跌停。

盤面上,行業板塊全線大跌,航空航天、有色、互聯網、工業機械、軟件服務、通用機械板塊指數跌8%。

具體來看:

資源股全線大跌,有色金屬跌幅居前。西藏礦業、盛新鋰能、神火股份、雲鋁股份等跌停。信達證券認為,在穩增長政策疊加高通脹預期背景下,金屬資源板塊將繼續受益,金屬價格高位運行和企業業績大幅增長將持續推動資源龍頭企業估值修復。

軍工股全線重挫。隆基機械、恆久科技、太陽電纜等多股跌停。廣發證券認為,隨一季度業績的逐步公吿,市場對軍工板塊利潤釋放不確定的擔心有望明顯減弱,疊加對軍工板塊逆週期、中報行業間業績增速比較優勢及板塊Q3-Q4業績基數較低預期的不斷加強,軍工板塊有望逐步企穩走強,估值匹配度是當下擇股關鍵。展望下半年,板塊產能擴產&釋放帶來的業績再次加速上行預期、國企改革經營管理改善&潛在專業化整合等,有望進一步推動軍工板塊估值修正。

鋼鐵股齊挫。八一鋼鐵、金嶺礦業逼近跌停,安陽鋼鐵、撫順鋼鐵跌超9%。一季度,國內主要用鋼行業實際鋼材消費同比下降5%,其中建築業下降7%,製造業下降2%。同期,中國鋼表觀消費量約2.35億噸,同比下降9.5%。在4月19日發改委表示,2022年國內將繼續實施粗鋼產量壓減政策,以確保確保全國粗鋼產量同比下降。另外,今年3月全球粗鋼產量為1.610億噸 同比下降5.8%。

煤炭股跌幅居前。上海能源、靖遠煤電、遼寧能源、鄭州煤電、神火股份等多股跌停。消息面上,而為了面對煤炭短缺的局面,許多國家開始在全球範圍內搶購煤炭。歐洲各國3月從美國進口了80.9萬噸煤炭,從哥倫比亞進口了總量為130萬噸的煤炭,從南非進口了28.7萬噸煤炭。總進口量同比增長40.5%。日本3月煤炭進口總量為1671.1萬噸,同比增長15%。

互聯網電商概念股持續走低。凱淳股份跌超17%,青木股份跌超14%,壹網壹創、吉宏股份、吉宏股份跌停,焦點科技、麗人麗粧、聯絡互動、南極電商等跟跌。

券商股衝高回落。招商證券跌超9%,湘財股份跌超8%,天風證券、長城證券等跟跌;華安證券漲停。中信證券認為,當前降準降息等貨幣寬鬆難以直接緩解投資者關切,市場仍在等待疫情拐點和復工復產,中期修復行情或有所延後,但悲觀預期已經充分釋放,行情一觸即發,建議堅定穩增長主線,佈局估值低位和預期低位品種。

個股方面,招商銀行跌8.64%報38.83元,總市值9792億元。消息面上,招行常務副行長王良迴應股價大跌表示:非常着急,已與投資者深入溝通。此前招商銀行原黨委書記、行長田惠宇涉嫌嚴重違紀違法,目前正接受中央紀委國家監委紀律審查和監察調查。另外,招商銀行公佈財報顯示,2022年一季度淨利潤360.22億元,同比增12.52%。

今日,北上資金淨流入-20.83億元,其中滬股通淨流入-37.62億元,深股通淨流入16.79億元。

展望後市,中金公司認為,目前在政策、估值、資金、行為信號方面已經部分顯現底部特徵,基本面信號結合當前的增長環境,可能尚需時間等待更為明確的拐點出現,依然維持目前市場處於“磨底”期的判斷,雖然短線市場可能仍有反覆,但中長期來看機會逐步大於風險,對於後市表現不必過於悲觀。結構上,認為低估值“穩增長”領域仍具備一定配置價值,關注消費領域自下而上的擇股機會,製造成長風格可能仍需靜待時機。

國盛證券認為,市場在經歷短線快速下殺後,回踩2020年7月以來的的箱體底部後,短線再次回踩3月低點,或能雙底開啟新一輪反彈,可積極跟蹤市場資金關注度較高板塊個股低吸機會。整體看,市場流動性總體穩定的基調下,在經歷長期下跌後,市場估值已經進入長期持股的底部區域,短線關注疫情和外圍市場對A股影響後的低吸機會。

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