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《即日市評》憂美下月「縮表」 恆指回落 阿里挫半成
港股今日回落。獲提名出任美聯儲局副主席的理事布雷納德表示聯儲局將有條不紊地加息,並料最早在下月開始「縮表」(縮減資產負債表),美股道指及納指昨晚各跌0.8%及2.3%,執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.619厘,美匯指數升至99.43,美股道指期貨最新跌119點或0.34%,納指期貨最新跌0.68%。中國3月財新服務業PMI急降至42創兩年低(市場原預期49.7),上證綜指全日微升0.7點或0.02%收3,283點,深證成指跌0.45%,滬深兩市成交額共9,661億人民幣。 恆指今早低開282點,其後跌幅曾擴大至487點一度低見22,015點,最終全日跌421點或1.87%,收22,080點;國指跌162點或2.09%,收7,608點;恆生科技指數跌182點或3.82%,收4,587點。大市全日成交總額1,342.22億元。滬、深港通分別淨流入12.37億及9.74億元人民幣。 開拓藥業(09939.HK)指新冠藥臨床試驗顯示可降低患者病毒載量,全日股價抽升1.06倍收28.85元。 【科網股造淡 舜宇股價挫】 科網股受壓,騰訊(00700.HK)跌2.3%,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)下滑近5.4%報107.6元。花旗發表評級報告指,由於新冠疫情影響及封城措施,該行相信內地經濟活動受到負面影響,令阿里巴巴截至今年3月底止第四財季利潤增長受挫,並認為這次影響或延續至截至今年6月底止2023財年首季,以可能推遲今年下半年的復甦勢頭,並將其H股目標價由194元下調至171元,維持「買入」評級。 手機設備股向下,瑞聲(02018.HK)股價走低3.6%,舜宇光學(02382.HK)股價挫6.3%。市傳台灣地區供應鏈傳出品牌廠考量俄烏戰爭與通脹問題,本季對供應鏈「大砍單」,下修幅度高達雙位數。舜宇同業大立光(03008.TW)近日公布今年3月合併營收37.56億新台幣,按月增43%,按年減6%,大立光表示目前訂單看到4月會比3月差。 【跌股一千隻 內房股續升】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比25(上日28比12),下跌股份1,081隻(跌幅2.6%),恆指成份股今日18隻股份上升,下跌股份46隻,升跌比率為27比70(上日為71比24);大市今日錄沽空241.5億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,189.12億的20.309%(上日為21.948%)。 內房股造好,富力(02777.HK)上揚7.8%,遠洋(03377.HK)及中海外(00688.HK)股價均升5.8%。就佳兆業集團(01638.HK)、招商蛇口(001979.SZ)及中國長城訂立戰略合作協議,合作將包括合營安排及資產收購。瑞信發表報告認為,行動顯示國有企業更加積極參與內房發展商資產處置,兼且留意到內地多個城市陸續放鬆內房政策,包括蘭州、衢州及秦皇島。 瑞信指,Omicron疫情爆發導致整體經濟放緩,加上內房年初以來銷售疲軟,令更多城市放鬆房地產措施。該行期望招商蛇口、長城資產和佳兆業簽訂的框架,可以為資金緊張的開發商提供資產處置的「樣本」,並預計利好消息將會繼續提振市場情緒。
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